America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas
The November Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published on November 9, 2012. The headline is “Storm Expected to Trim Growth, not Spending.” An excerpt: On average, the economists see a small chance of recession over the next 12 months—at about 1-in-5, basically unchanged over the past five months. But most respondents still think …
The Philadelphia Fed Fourth Quarter 2012 Survey of Professional Forecasters was released on November 9. This survey is somewhat unique in various regards, such as it incorporates a longer time frame for various measures. The survey shows, among many measures, the following expectations: Real GDP: (annual average level) full-year 2012 : 2.2% full-year 2013 : 2.0% full-year 2014 …
On March 28, 2011 I wrote a post (“The STLFSI“) about the STLFSI (St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index) which is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. For reference purposes, the most recent chart is seen below. This chart was last updated on November 8, incorporating data from December 31,1993 to November 2, …
On March 28, 2011 I wrote a post (“The STLFSI“) about the STLFSI (St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index) which is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. For reference purposes, the most recent chart is seen below. This chart was last updated on November 5, incorporating data from December 31,1993 to October 26, …
On March 28, 2011 I wrote a post (“The STLFSI“) about the STLFSI (St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index) which is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. For reference purposes, the most recent chart is seen below. This chart was last updated on October 25, incorporating data from December 31,1993 to October 19, …
On March 28, 2011 I wrote a post (“The STLFSI“) about the STLFSI (St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index) which is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. For reference purposes, the most recent chart is seen below. This chart was last updated on October 18, incorporating data from December 31,1993 to October 12, …
The October Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published on October 12, 2012. The headline is “Sluggish Growth Seen Into Next Year.” An excerpt: On average, the 48 respondents, not all of whom answer every question, expect the jobless rate will still be at 7.8% in June of next year—matching the September figure released …
On March 28, 2011 I wrote a post (“The STLFSI“) about the STLFSI (St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index) which is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. For reference purposes, the most recent chart is seen below. This chart was last updated on October 11, incorporating data from December 31,1993 to October 5, …
On October 4, The Conference Board released its 3rd Quarter CEO Confidence Survey. The overall measure of CEO Confidence was at 42, down from 47 in the second quarter. Notable excerpts from this October 4 Press Release include: Says Lynn Franco, Director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board: “This latest report reflects ongoing concern about …
On March 28, 2011 I wrote a post (“The STLFSI“) about the STLFSI (St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index) which is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. For reference purposes, the most recent chart is seen below. This chart was last updated on October 4, incorporating data from December 31,1993 to September 28, …