S&P500 Price Projections – Livingston Survey June 2024

The June 2024 Livingston Survey published on June 14, 2024 contains, among its various forecasts, a S&P500 forecast.  It shows the following price forecast for the dates shown: June 28, 2024 5300.00 Dec. 31, 2024  5440.00 June 30, 2025 5667.9 Dec. 31, 2025  5824.60 These figures represent the median value across the forecasters on the survey’s panel. _____ …

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Jerome Powell’s June 12, 2024 Press Conference – Notable Aspects

On Wednesday, June 12, 2024 FOMC Chair Jerome Powell gave his scheduled June 2024 FOMC Press Conference. (link of video and related materials) Below are Jerome Powell’s comments I found most notable – although I don’t necessarily agree with them – in the order they appear in the transcript.  These comments are excerpted from the “Transcript …

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CEO Confidence Surveys 2Q 2024 – Notable Excerpts

On June 12, 2024, the Business Roundtable released its most recent CEO Economic Outlook Survey for the 2nd Quarter of 2024.   Notable excerpts from this release, titled “Business Roundtable Q2 Economic Index in Line with Long-Term Average, Reflecting a Stable U.S. Economy“: Business Roundtable today released its Q2 2024 CEO Economic Outlook Survey, a …

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NFIB Small Business Optimism – May 2024

The May NFIB Small Business Optimism report was released today, June 11, 2024. The headline of the Economic Trends report is “Small Business Uncertainty Index Reaches Highest Level Since 2020.” The Index of Small Business Optimism increased by .8 point to 90.5. Here is an excerpt that I find particularly notable (but don’t necessarily agree …

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Charts Indicating Economic Weakness – June 2024

Throughout this site there are many discussions of economic indicators.  This post is the latest in a series of posts indicating facets of U.S. economic weakness or a notably low growth rate. The level and trend of economic growth is especially notable at this time. As seen in various sources, recession estimates have been at elevated levels. As seen …

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Average Hourly Earnings Trends

I have written many blog posts concerning the worrisome trends in income and earnings. Along these lines, one of the measures showing disconcerting trends is that of hourly earnings. While the concept of hourly earnings can be defined and measured in a variety of ways, below are a few charts that I believe broadly illustrate problematic …

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