America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas
On March 28, 2011 I wrote a post (“The STLFSI“) about the STLFSI (St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index) which is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. For reference purposes, the most recent chart is seen below. This chart was last updated on August 16, incorporating data from December 31,1993 to August 10, …
The Philadelphia Fed Third Quarter 2012 Survey of Professional Forecasters was released on August 10. This survey is somewhat unique in various regards, such as it incorporates a longer time frame for various measures. The survey shows, among many measures, the following expectations: GDP: (annual average level) full-year 2012 : 2.2% full-year 2013 : 2.1% full-year 2014 : …
The August Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published on August 10, 2012. The headline is “‘Fiscal Cliff’ Weighs on Growth.” Much of the commentary discusses the ‘fiscal cliff’ and its ramifications. In the Q&A section (in the spreadsheet), there was this question: “Is the risk to your 2012 growth forecast more to the …
On March 28, 2011 I wrote a post (“The STLFSI“) about the STLFSI (St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index) which is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. For reference purposes, the most recent chart is seen below. This chart was last updated on August 9, incorporating data from December 31,1993 to August 3, …
On March 28, 2011 I wrote a post (“The STLFSI“) about the STLFSI (St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index) which is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. For reference purposes, the most recent chart is seen below. This chart was last updated on August 2, incorporating data from December 31,1993 to July 27, …
On March 28, 2011 I wrote a post (“The STLFSI“) about the STLFSI (St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index) which is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. For reference purposes, the most recent chart is seen below. This chart was last updated on July 26, incorporating data from December 31,1993 to July 20, …
On March 28, 2011 I wrote a post (“The STLFSI“) about the STLFSI (St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index) which is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. For reference purposes, the most recent chart is seen below. This chart was last updated on July 19, incorporating data from December 31,1993 to July 13, …
On March 28, 2011 I wrote a post (“The STLFSI“) about the STLFSI (St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index) which is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. For reference purposes, the most recent chart is seen below. This chart was last updated on July 12, incorporating data from December 31,1993 to July 6, …
On July 5, The Conference Board released its 2nd Quarter CEO Confidence Survey. The overall measure of CEO Confidence was at 47, down from 63 in the first quarter. Notable excerpts from this July 5 Press Release include: CEOs’ assessment of current economic conditions has turned considerably negative. Only 17 percent claim conditions have improved compared …
The July Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published on July 11, 2012. The headline is “Forecasters Say Fed Will Do More to Stir Economy.” I found various excerpts to be notable, including the following: “The Fed is now behind on both goals of its dual objective,” said Allen Sinai of Decision Economics, who …