Average Hourly Earnings Trends

I have written many blog posts concerning the worrisome trends in income and earnings. Along these lines, one of the measures showing disconcerting trends is that of hourly earnings. While the concept of hourly earnings can be defined and measured in a variety of ways, below are a few charts that I believe broadly illustrate problematic … Read moreAverage Hourly Earnings Trends

Markets During Periods Of Federal Reserve Intervention – October 1, 2019 Update

In the August 9, 2011 post (“QE3 – Various Thoughts“) I posted a chart that depicted the movements of the S&P500, 10-Year Treasury Yield and the Fed Funds rate spanning the periods of various Federal Reserve interventions since 2007. For reference purposes, here is an updated chart (through September 30, 2019) from the Doug Short … Read moreMarkets During Periods Of Federal Reserve Intervention – October 1, 2019 Update

Consumer Confidence Surveys – As Of September 27, 2019

The Doug Short site had a post of September 27, 2019 (“Michigan Consumer Sentiment: Remains Favorable in September“) that displays the latest Conference Board Consumer Confidence and Thomson/Reuters University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index charts.  They are presented below: (click on charts to enlarge images) – There are a few aspects of the above charts … Read moreConsumer Confidence Surveys – As Of September 27, 2019

Durable Goods New Orders – Long-Term Charts Through August 2019

Many people place emphasis on Durable Goods New Orders as a prominent economic indicator and/or leading economic indicator. For reference, below are two charts depicting this measure. First, from the St. Louis Fed site (FRED), a chart through August 2019, updated on September 27, 2019. This value is $250,670 ($ Millions): (click on charts to … Read moreDurable Goods New Orders – Long-Term Charts Through August 2019

Broad-Based Indicators Of Economic Activity

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) and the Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index (ADS Index) are two broad-based economic indicators that I regularly feature in this site. The short-term and long-term trends of each continue to be notable. The post on the Doug Short site of September 26, 2019, titled “The Philly Fed ADS Index … Read moreBroad-Based Indicators Of Economic Activity

Money Supply Charts Through August 2019

For reference purposes, below are two sets of charts depicting growth in the money supply. The first shows the MZM (Money Zero Maturity), defined in FRED as the following: M2 less small-denomination time deposits plus institutional money funds.Money Zero Maturity is calculated by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Here is the “MZM Money … Read moreMoney Supply Charts Through August 2019

Total Household Net Worth As Of 2Q 2019 – Two Long-Term Charts

For reference purposes, here is Total Household Net Worth from a long-term perspective (from 1945:Q4 through 2019:Q2).  The last value (as of the September 23, 2019 update) is $113.462455 Trillion: (click on each chart to enlarge image) – Also of interest is the same metric presented on a “Percent Change from a Year Ago” basis, … Read moreTotal Household Net Worth As Of 2Q 2019 – Two Long-Term Charts

Total Household Net Worth As A Percent Of GDP 2Q 2019

The following chart is from the CalculatedRisk post of September 20, 2019 titled “Fed Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Increased in Q2.” It depicts Total Household Net Worth as a Percent of GDP.  The underlying data is from the Federal Reserve’s Z.1 report, “Financial Accounts of the United States“: (click on chart to enlarge … Read moreTotal Household Net Worth As A Percent Of GDP 2Q 2019

Charts Indicating Economic Weakness – September 2019

U.S. Economic Indicators Throughout this site there are many discussions of economic indicators.  At this time, the readings of various indicators are especially notable.  This post is the latest in a series of posts indicating U.S. economic weakness or a notably low growth rate. While many U.S. economic indicators – including GDP – are indicating economic growth, others … Read moreCharts Indicating Economic Weakness – September 2019

Average Hourly Earnings Trends

I have written many blog posts concerning the worrisome trends in income and earnings. Along these lines, one of the measures showing disconcerting trends is that of hourly earnings. While the concept of hourly earnings can be defined and measured in a variety of ways, below are a few charts that I believe broadly illustrate problematic … Read moreAverage Hourly Earnings Trends