Charts Indicating Economic Weakness – April 2021

U.S. Economic Indicators Throughout this site there are many discussions of economic indicators.  This post is the latest in a series of posts indicating U.S. economic weakness or a notably low growth rate. The level and trend of economic growth is especially notable at this time. As seen in various measures and near-term projections, the U.S. economy …

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Consumer Confidence Surveys – As Of March 30, 2021

Advisor Perspectives had a post of March 30, 2021 (“Consumer Confidence Highest In A Year“) that displays the latest Conference Board Consumer Confidence and Thomson/Reuters University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index charts.  They are presented below: (click on charts to enlarge images) – While I don’t believe that confidence surveys should be overemphasized, I find these …

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Durable Goods New Orders – Long-Term Charts Through February 2021

Many people place emphasis on Durable Goods New Orders as a prominent economic indicator and/or leading economic indicator. For reference, below are two charts depicting this measure. First, from the St. Louis Fed site (FRED), a chart through February 2021, updated on March 24, 2021. This value is $254,004 ($ Millions): (click on charts to …

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Money Supply Charts Through February 2021

For reference purposes, below are two sets of charts depicting growth in the money supply. The first shows the M1, defined in FRED as the following: Beginning May 2020, M1 consists of (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) demand deposits at commercial banks (excluding those …

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10-Year Treasury Yields – Two Long-Term Charts As Of March 16, 2021

I have written extensively about the importance of U.S. interest rate levels.  Rising interest rates have substantial ramifications for many aspects of the current-day economy.  My commentaries with regard to interest rates and the bond bubble are largely found under the “bond bubble” tag.   From an intervention perspective commentary is found under the “Intervention” …

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Charts Indicating Economic Weakness – March 2021

U.S. Economic Indicators Throughout this site there are many discussions of economic indicators.  This post is the latest in a series of posts indicating U.S. economic weakness or a notably low growth rate. The level and trend of economic growth is especially notable at this time. As seen in various measures and near-term projections, the U.S. economy …

Read moreCharts Indicating Economic Weakness – March 2021

Total Household Net Worth As Of 4Q 2020 – Two Long-Term Charts

For reference purposes, here is Total Household Net Worth from a long-term perspective (from 1945:Q4 through 2020:Q4).  The last value (as of the March 11, 2021 update) is $130.154587 Trillion: (click on each chart to enlarge image) – Also of interest is the same metric presented on a “Percent Change from a Year Ago” basis, …

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Total Household Net Worth As A Percent Of GDP 4Q 2020

The following chart is from the CalculatedRisk post of March 11, 2021 titled “Fed Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Increased $6.9 Trillion in Q4.” It depicts Total Household Net Worth as a Percent of GDP.  The underlying data is from the Federal Reserve’s Z.1 report, “Financial Accounts of the United States“: (click on chart …

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