Charts Indicating Economic Weakness – January 2021

U.S. Economic Indicators Throughout this site there are many discussions of economic indicators.  This post is the latest in a series of posts indicating U.S. economic weakness or a notably low growth rate. The level and trend of economic growth is especially notable at this time. As seen in various measures and near-term projections, the U.S. economy …

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10-Year Treasury Yields – Two Long-Term Charts As Of January 6, 2021

I have written extensively about the importance of U.S. interest rate levels.  Rising interest rates have substantial ramifications for many aspects of the current-day economy.  My commentaries with regard to interest rates and the bond bubble are largely found under the “bond bubble” tag.   From an intervention perspective commentary is found under the “Intervention” …

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Consumer Confidence Surveys – As Of December 29, 2020

Advisor Perspectives had a post of December 29, 2020 (“Consumer Confidence…“) that displays the latest Conference Board Consumer Confidence and Thomson/Reuters University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index charts.  They are presented below: (click on charts to enlarge images) – While I don’t believe that confidence surveys should be overemphasized, I find these readings and trends to …

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Durable Goods New Orders – Long-Term Charts Through November 2020

Many people place emphasis on Durable Goods New Orders as a prominent economic indicator and/or leading economic indicator. For reference, below are two charts depicting this measure. First, from the St. Louis Fed site (FRED), a chart through November 2020, updated on December 23, 2020. This value is $244,161 ($ Millions): (click on charts to …

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Money Supply Charts Through November 2020

For reference purposes, below are two sets of charts depicting growth in the money supply. The first shows the MZM (Money Zero Maturity), defined in FRED as the following: M2 less small-denomination time deposits plus institutional money funds.Money Zero Maturity is calculated by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Here is the “MZM Money …

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Markets During Periods Of Federal Reserve Intervention – December 21, 2020 Update

In the August 9, 2011 post (“QE3 – Various Thoughts“) I posted a chart that depicted the movements of the S&P500, 10-Year Treasury Yield and the Fed Funds rate spanning the periods of various Federal Reserve interventions since 2007. For reference purposes, here is an updated chart (through December 18, 2020) from the Advisor Perspectives’ …

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Hunger And Food Insecurity Growth In 2020 And Implications

In past posts I have commented about hunger and what is called “food insecurity” issues, which increased significantly during and after the Financial Crisis. In 2020, the economic decline has led to a substantial increase in hunger and “food insecurity.” Unfortunately, due to various factors it is difficult to get accurate and timely information on …

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Charts Indicating Economic Weakness – December 2020

U.S. Economic Indicators Throughout this site there are many discussions of economic indicators.  This post is the latest in a series of posts indicating U.S. economic weakness or a notably low growth rate. The level and trend of economic growth is especially notable at this time. As seen in various measures and near-term projections, the U.S. economy …

Read moreCharts Indicating Economic Weakness – December 2020

Total Household Net Worth As Of 3Q 2020 – Two Long-Term Charts

For reference purposes, here is Total Household Net Worth from a long-term perspective (from 1945:Q4 through 2020:Q3).  The last value (as of the December 10, 2020 update) is $123.519725 Trillion: (click on each chart to enlarge image) – Also of interest is the same metric presented on a “Percent Change from a Year Ago” basis, …

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