Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI)

The St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index (STLFSI3) is one index that is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. Its reading as of the September 22, 2022 update (reflecting data through September 16, 2022) is -1.9120: source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index [STLFSI3], retrieved from FRED, …

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CEO Confidence Surveys 3Q 2022 – Notable Excerpts

On September 12, 2022, the Business Roundtable released its most recent CEO Economic Outlook Survey for the 3rd Quarter of 2022.   Notable excerpts from this September 12, 2022 release, titled “Business Roundtable Q3 CEO Economic Outlook Index Signals Continued U.S. Slowdown“: Business Roundtable today released its Q3 2022 CEO Economic Outlook Survey, a composite …

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Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI)

The St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index (STLFSI3) is one index that is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. Its reading as of the September 8, 2022 update (reflecting data through September 2, 2022) is -1.5900: source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index [STLFSI3], retrieved from FRED, …

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Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI)

The St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index (STLFSI3) is one index that is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. Its reading as of the August 25, 2022 update (reflecting data through August 19, 2022) is -1.9360: source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index [STLFSI3], retrieved from FRED, …

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Updates Of Economic Indicators August 2022

The following is an update of various indicators that are supposed to predict and/or depict economic activity. These indicators have been discussed in previous blog posts: The August 2022 Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) updated as of August 22, 2022: The CFNAI, with a current reading of .27: source:  Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Chicago Fed National …

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Philadelphia Fed – 3rd Quarter 2022 Survey Of Professional Forecasters

The Philadelphia Fed 3rd Quarter 2022 Survey of Professional Forecasters was released on August 12, 2022.  This survey is somewhat unique in various regards, such as it incorporates a longer time frame for various measures. The survey shows, among many measures, the following median expectations: Real GDP: (annual average level) full-year 2022:  1.6% full-year 2023:  1.3% full-year 2024:  …

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