Building Financial Danger – January 8, 2021 Update

My overall analysis indicates a continuing elevated and growing level of financial danger which contains many worldwide and U.S.-specific “stresses” of a very complex nature. I have written numerous posts on this site concerning both ongoing and recent “negative developments.”  These developments, as well as other exceedingly problematical conditions, have presented a highly perilous economic environment …

Read moreBuilding Financial Danger – January 8, 2021 Update

Stock Market Capitalization To GDP – Through Q3 2020

“Stock market capitalization to GDP” is a notable and important metric regarding stock market valuation.  In February of 2009 I wrote of it in “Does Warren Buffett’s Market Metric Still Apply?” On the Advisor Perspectives’ site there is an update depicting this “stock market capitalization to GDP” metric. As seen in the January 5, 2021 …

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VIX Weekly And Monthly Charts Since The Year 2000 – January 6, 2021 Update

For reference purposes, below are two charts of the VIX from year 2000 through Tuesday’s (January 5, 2021) close, which had a closing value of 25.34. Here is the VIX Weekly chart, depicted on a LOG scale, with the 13- and 34-week moving averages, seen in the cyan and red lines, respectively: (click on chart …

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Charts Of Equities’ Performance Since March 9, 2009 And January 1, 1980 – January 5, 2021 Update

In the March 9, 2012 post (“Charts of Equities’ Performance Since March 9, 2009 And January 1, 1980“) I highlighted two charts for reference purposes. Below are those two charts, updated through the latest daily closing price. The first is a daily chart of the S&P500 (shown in green), as well as five prominent (AAPL, IBM, …

Read moreCharts Of Equities’ Performance Since March 9, 2009 And January 1, 1980 – January 5, 2021 Update

DJIA, DJTA, S&P500 And Nasdaq Composite Price Charts – Long Duration

StockCharts.com maintains long-term historical charts of various major stock market indices, interest rates, currencies, commodities, and economic indicators. As a long-term reference, below are charts depicting various stock market indices for the dates shown.  All charts are depicted on a monthly basis using a LOG scale. (click on charts to enlarge images)(charts courtesy of StockCharts.com) The …

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Trends Of S&P500 Earnings Forecasts

S&P500 earnings trends and estimates are a notably important topic, for a variety of reasons, at this point in time. FactSet publishes a report titled “Earnings Insight” that contains a variety of information including the trends and expectations of S&P500 earnings. For reference purposes, here are two charts as seen in the “Earnings Insight” report of December …

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S&P500 Annual EPS Estimates For Years 2020, 2021 & 2022

As many are aware, Refinitiv publishes earnings estimates for the S&P500.  (My other posts concerning S&P earnings estimates can be found under the S&P500 Earnings tag) The following estimates are from Exhibit 24 of the “S&P500 Earnings Scorecard” (pdf) of December 16, 2020, and represent an aggregation of individual S&P500 component “bottom up” analyst forecasts.  For reference, the …

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Standard & Poor’s S&P500 EPS Estimates 2020 & 2021 – December 17, 2020

As many are aware, Standard & Poor’s publishes earnings estimates for the S&P500.  (My posts concerning their estimates can be found under the S&P500 Earnings tag) For reference purposes, the most current estimates are reflected below, and are as of December 17, 2020: Year 2020 estimates add to the following: -From a “bottom up” perspective, operating earnings of $120.81/share …

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S&P500 Price Projections – Livingston Survey December 2020

The December 2020 Livingston Survey (pdf) published on December 18, 2020 contains, among its various forecasts, a S&P500 forecast.  It shows the following price forecast for the dates shown: Dec. 31, 2020  3600.00 June 30, 2021 3650.00 Dec. 31, 2021  3745.00 Dec. 31, 2022  3899.20 These figures represent the median value across the forecasters on the survey’s panel. …

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Building Financial Danger – December 8, 2020 Update

My overall analysis indicates a continuing elevated and growing level of financial danger which contains many worldwide and U.S.-specific “stresses” of a very complex nature. I have written numerous posts on this site concerning both ongoing and recent “negative developments.”  These developments, as well as other exceedingly problematical conditions, have presented a highly perilous economic environment …

Read moreBuilding Financial Danger – December 8, 2020 Update