America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas
The following commentary and chart is excerpted from the October 14, 2010 ContraryInvestor.com commentary. I find it interesting in a variety of different ways, and it raises a lot of questions with regard to the stock market, consumer confidence, QE1, and QE2… _____ “We have not touched on consumer confidence for a good while, but …
(this is the fifth in a series of five posts concerning the markets) Lastly, a couple of charts showing the S&P500… First, one that shows the S&P500 on a weekly basis, LOG scale, since 2007. I continue to find this chart interesting for a variety of reasons. It shows that resistance has become support, as …
I am aware of no recent warnings by others of a possible stock market crash in the near term. In the past I have commented that I view a future crash as certain. Like that of 2008, such a crash would include not only equity markets but many others as well. Pinpoint timing of crashes …
In the October 11-October 17 2010 issue of Bloomberg BusinessWeek, it had an article titled “The Corporate Profit Engine May Be Slowing.” The article contains a variety of information concerning earnings. An excerpt: “For the first time in more than a year, Wall Street analysts cut their forecasts for Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index earnings …
As many are aware, Standard & Poors publishes earnings estimates on a quarterly basis. My previous post concerning their estimates can be found at this May 30 post) Currently, their estimates for 2010 add to the following: -From a “bottom up” perspective, operating earnings of $82.87/share -From a “top down” perspective, operating earnings of $78.29/share …
The stock market appears to be at an important juncture. As seen in the below chart, by Ron Walker (thechartpatterntrader.com) there is the much-discussed potential Head and Shoulders formation that looms large: (click on chart to enlarge)(chart courtesy of StockCharts.com) As well, the VIX is just above 20. As I have commented upon previously, over the …
The August 16-August 29 2010 Bloomberg BusinessWeek had an article on stock forecasts titled “The Market’s Economic Disconnect.” Here is an excerpt: “The fastest annual earnings increase in 22 years will push the S&P index up 20 percent in the last six months of 2010 to 1,242, according to the average projection of 12 firms …
Here are two charts that I have found interesting from a Technical Analysis perspective. I believe they are helpful in understanding the current stock market situation. I would like to reiterate my view that we are in a bear market rally, albeit subject to conditions I spoke of in my June 2 post. Here is …
The June 9, 2010 Livingston Survey (pdf) contains, among its various forecasts, a S&P500 forecast. It shows the following price forecast for the dates shown: June 30, 2010 1115.0 Dec. 31, 2010 1187.6 June 30, 2011 1243.5 Dec. 30, 2011 1280.0 These figures represent the median value across the 40 forecasters on the survey’s panel. …
With the ongoing problems in Europe, fears of worldwide economic “contagion”, and many overt signs of economic slowing in the United States, one is led to wonder how susceptible the U.S. stock markets are to further declines. While I have written extensively about how I believe the stock market will face an exceedingly large decline …