America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas
The November Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published on November 10, 2011. The headline is “Economists See Smaller Chance of U.S. Recession.” I found various aspects of the survey to be interesting, including the following excerpts: The 52 economists surveyed in November—not all of whom answer every question—put 1-in-4 odds that the U.S. …
The Philadelphia Fed Fourth Quarter 2011 Survey of Professional Forecasters was released on November 14. This survey is somewhat unique in various regards, such as it incorporates a longer time frame for various measures. The survey shows, among many measures, the following expectations: GDP: full-year 2011 : 1.8% full-year 2012 : 2.4% full-year 2013 : 2.7% full-year …
Yesterday saw the release of the Economic Projections of the Federal Reserve Board Members and Federal Reserve Bank Presidents, November 2011 (pdf). Of note, since January, the Federal Reserve has been reducing its economic growth forecasts. _____ I post various economic forecasts because I believe they should be carefully monitored. However, as those familiar with …
On October 7, I wrote a post about the latest Business Roundtable’s CEO Economic Outlook Survey and the Duke/CFO Magazine Global Business Outlook Survey titled “CEO & CFO Surveys 3Q 2011.” Subsequent to that post, on October 11, The Conference Board released its 3rd Quarter CEO Confidence Survey. The overall measure of CEO Confidence was at …
The October Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published today, October 13, 2011. The headline is “U.S. Incomes Seen Stagnant Through 2021 .” I found various aspects of the survey to be interesting, including the following excerpts: Americans’ incomes have dropped since 2000 and they aren’t expected to make up the lost ground before 2021, …
On September 29 the Business Roundtable’s CEO Economic Outlook Survey was released for the 3rd quarter. The September Duke/CFO Magazine Global Business Outlook Survey (pdf) was released on September 13. Both contain a variety of statistics regarding how executives view business and economic conditions. In the CEO survey, of particular interest is the CEO Economic Outlook Index, which decreased …
The September Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published today, September 16, 2011. The headline is “Economists Say That U.S. Recession Looks More Likely.” I found various aspects of the survey to be interesting, including the following excerpts: Economists see a one in three chance the U.S. will slip into recession over the next twelve …
The Philadelphia Fed Third Quarter 2011 Survey of Professional Forecasters was released on August 12. This survey is somewhat unique in various regards, such as it incorporates a longer time frame for various measures. The survey shows, among many measures, the following expectations: GDP: full-year 2011 : 1.7% full-year 2012 : 2.6% full-year 2013 : 2.9% full-year …
The August Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published August 12, 2011. The headline is “Feeble Numbers Stir Recession Fears.” I found various aspects of the survey to be interesting, including the following excerpts: The 46 economists in the survey—not all of whom answer every question—put the odds that the U.S. is already in another …
The July Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published July 18, 2011. The headline is “Dearth of Demand Seen Behind Weak Hiring.” I found various aspects of the survey to be interesting, including the following excerpts: In the survey, conducted July 8-13 and released Monday, 53 economists—not all of whom answer every question—were asked the …