America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas
On June 20, I wrote a post about the latest Business Roundtable’s CEO Economic Outlook Survey and the Duke/CFO Magazine Global Business Outlook Survey titled “CEO & CFO Surveys 2Q 2011.” Subsequent to that post, on July 8, the Conference Board released its 2nd Quarter CEO Confidence Survey. The overall measure of CEO Confidence was at …
Recently McKinsey released their “Economic Conditions Snapshot, June 2011” As stated in the survey: Over the past three months, executives around the world have grown more pessimistic about their nations’ economies: compared with three months ago, a smaller share say their economies improved over the past six months, and slightly more expect worsening conditions over the …
On June 14 the Business Roundtable’s CEO Economic Outlook Survey was released for the 2nd quarter. The June Duke/CFO Magazine Global Business Outlook Survey was released on June 8. Both contain a variety of statistics regarding how executives view business and economic conditions. In the CEO survey, of particular interest is the CEO Economic Outlook Index, which …
The June Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published June 13, 2011. The headline is “Sluggish Hiring Seen as a Threat to Recovery.” I found various aspects of the survey to be interesting. One was “On average, the economists put the chances of a double-dip recession in the next year at just 16%, but …
On May 17, CNBC had an article titled “Goldman’s Hatzius: The Next US Recession Is ‘Years Away’” An excerpt: “There’s still a long way to go. The unemployment rate is still 9 percent, we’re nowhere close to a really tight labor market that usually predicates a recession, so I think we’re still be in a …
The following is from the Minutes of The Federal Open Market Committee of April 26-27, 2011, the Summary of Economic Projections. As stated: “In conjunction with the April 26-27, 2011, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the members of the Board of Governors and the presidents of the Federal Reserve Banks, all of whom participate in …
The Philadelphia Fed Second Quarter 2011 Survey of Professional Forecasters was released on May 13. This survey is somewhat unique in various regards, such as it incorporates a longer time frame for various measures. The survey shows, among many measures, the following expectations: GDP: full-year 2011 : 2.7% full-year 2012 : 3.0% full-year 2013 : 2.8% …
The May Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published May 16, 2011. The headline is “Economists in Survey Discount Inflation.” Most of the article discusses inflation expectations, although raising the debt ceiling and other topics are touched upon as well. The current average forecasts among economists polled include the following: GDP: full-year 2011 : …
The April Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published April 11, 2011. The headline is “Economists See Growth Accelerating Later in Year.” I find the most notable aspects of this survey to be in the survey detail (spreadsheet), in which the economists judge factors that have recently adversely impacted the economy, and also predict …
On March 31, I wrote a post about the latest Business Roundtable’s CEO Economic Outlook Survey and the Duke/CFO Magazine Global Business Outlook Survey. Subsequent to that post, the Conference Board released its 1st Quarter CEO Confidence Survey. The overall measure of CEO Confidence was at 67, up from 62 in the first quarter. An excerpt …