America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas
The Philadelphia Fed 1st Quarter 2017 Survey of Professional Forecasters was released on February 10, 2017. This survey is somewhat unique in various regards, such as it incorporates a longer time frame for various measures. The survey shows, among many measures, the following median expectations: Real GDP: (annual average level) full-year 2017: 2.3% full-year 2018: 2.4% full-year 2019: …
The February 2017 Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published on February 9, 2017. The headline is “Forecasters See Slow Progress in Labor-Market Measures Favored by Trump Administration.” I found numerous items to be notable – although I don’t necessarily agree with them – both within the article and in the “Economist Q&A” section. …
The January 2017 Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published on January 12, 2017. The headline is “Forecasters See Upside Risks to Their Economic Outlooks at Highest in More Than Two Years.” I found numerous items to be notable – although I don’t necessarily agree with them – both within the article and in …
On January 5, 2017, The Conference Board released the 4th Quarter Measure Of CEO Confidence. The overall measure of CEO Confidence was at 65, up from 50 in the third quarter. [note: a reading of more than 50 points reflects more positive than negative responses] Notable excerpts from this January 5 Press Release include: CEOs’ assessment …
On December 7, 2016 the December Duke/CFO Global Business Outlook was released. It contains a variety of statistics regarding how CFOs view business and economic conditions. In this CFO survey, I found the following to be the most notable excerpts – although I don’t necessarily agree with them: For the last five quarters, the Duke University/CFO …
The December 2016 Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published on December 8, 2016. The headline is “Economists Doubt the U.S. Can Regain Many of the Factory Jobs Lost in Recent Decades.” I found numerous items to be notable – although I don’t necessarily agree with them – both within the article and in …
The November 2016 Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published on November 13, 2016. The headline is “GDP, Inflation And Interest Rates Forecast to Rise Under Trump Presidency.” I found numerous items to be notable – although I don’t necessarily agree with them – both within the article and in the “Economist Q&A” section. …
The Philadelphia Fed 4th Quarter 2016 Survey of Professional Forecasters was released on November 14, 2016. This survey is somewhat unique in various regards, such as it incorporates a longer time frame for various measures. The survey shows, among many measures, the following median expectations: Real GDP: (annual average level) full-year 2016: 1.5% full-year 2017: 2.2% full-year 2018: …
The October 2016 Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published on October 13, 2016. The headline is “Economists Believe a Recession Is Likely Within Next Four Years.” I found numerous items to be notable – although I don’t necessarily agree with them – both within the article and in the “Economist Q&A” section. Two …
On October 4, 2016, The Conference Board released the 3rd Quarter Measure Of CEO Confidence. The overall measure of CEO Confidence was at 50, down from 52 in the second quarter. [note: a reading of more than 50 points reflects more positive than negative responses] Notable excerpts from this October 4 Press Release include: CEOs’ appraisal …