America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas
The September 2016 Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published on September 8, 2016. The headline is “Why So Few Economists Are Prepared to Say Recession Risks Are Fading.” I found numerous items to be notable – although I don’t necessarily agree with them – both within the article and in the “Economist Q&A” …
The Philadelphia Fed 3rd Quarter 2016 Survey of Professional Forecasters was released on August 12, 2016. This survey is somewhat unique in various regards, such as it incorporates a longer time frame for various measures. The survey shows, among many measures, the following median expectations: Real GDP: (annual average level) full-year 2016: 1.5% full-year 2017: 2.3% full-year 2018: …
The August 2016 Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published on August 11, 2016. The headline is “Economists See Election-Induced Uncertainty Harming U.S. Economy.” As indicated in the article, 62 economists were surveyed, although not every economist answered every question. I found numerous items to be notable – although I don’t necessarily agree with …
The July 2016 Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published on July 14, 2016. The headline is “WSJ Survey: Half of Economists See No Fed Rate Increase Until December.” As indicated in the article, 60 economists were surveyed, although not every economist answered every question. I found numerous items to be notable – although …
On July 7, 2016, The Conference Board released the 2nd Quarter Measure Of CEO Confidence. The overall measure of CEO Confidence was at 52, up from 47 in the first quarter. [note: a reading of more than 50 points reflects more positive than negative responses] Notable excerpts from this July 7 Press Release include: CEOs’ assessment …
On June 8, 2016 the June Duke/CFO Global Business Outlook was released. It contains a variety of statistics regarding how CFOs view business and economic conditions. In this CFO survey, I found the following to be the most notable excerpts – although I don’t necessarily agree with them: Forty-seven percent of U.S. companies say they will …
The June 2016 Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published on June 9, 2016. The headline is “WSJ Survey: Economists Sharply Lower Estimates of Job Growth in the Next Year.” As indicated in the article, 66 economists were surveyed, although not every economist answered every question. I found numerous items to be notable – …
The Philadelphia Fed 2nd Quarter 2016 Survey of Professional Forecasters was released on May 13, 2016. This survey is somewhat unique in various regards, such as it incorporates a longer time frame for various measures. The survey shows, among many measures, the following median expectations: Real GDP: (annual average level) full-year 2016: 1.7% full-year 2017: 2.4% full-year 2018: …
The May 2016 Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published on May 12, 2016. The headline is “WSJ Survey: Economists Divided Over Next Fed Rate Increase.” As indicated in the article, 70 economists were surveyed, although not every economist answered every question. I found numerous items to be notable – although I don’t necessarily …
The April 2016 Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published on April 7, 2016. The headline is “WSJ Survey: Most Economists Expect Next Fed Rate Increase in June.” As indicated in the article, 69 economists were surveyed, although not every economist answered every question. I found numerous items to be notable – although I …