U-3 And U-6 Unemployment Rate Long-Term Reference Charts As Of June 7, 2019

Shortly after each monthly employment report I have been posting a continual series titled “3 Critical Unemployment Charts.” Of course, there are many other employment charts that can be displayed as well. For reference purposes, below are the U-3 and U-6 Unemployment Rate charts from a long-term historical perspective.  Both charts are from the St. … Read moreU-3 And U-6 Unemployment Rate Long-Term Reference Charts As Of June 7, 2019

3 Critical Unemployment Charts – June 2019

As I have commented previously, as in the October 6, 2009 post (“A Note About Unemployment Statistics”), in my opinion the official methodologies used to measure the various job loss and unemployment statistics do not provide an accurate depiction; they serve to understate the severity of unemployment. However, even if one chooses to look at the … Read more3 Critical Unemployment Charts – June 2019

Total Household Net Worth As Of 1Q 2019 – Two Long-Term Charts

For reference purposes, here is Total Household Net Worth from a long-term perspective (from 1945:Q4 through 2019:Q1).  The last value (as of the June 6, 2019 update) is $108.643051 Trillion: (click on each chart to enlarge image) – Also of interest is the same metric presented on a “Percent Change from a Year Ago” basis, … Read moreTotal Household Net Worth As Of 1Q 2019 – Two Long-Term Charts

Total Household Net Worth As A Percent Of GDP 1Q 2019

The following chart is from the CalculatedRisk post of June 6, 2019 titled “Fed’s Flow of Funds:  Household Net Worth Increased in Q1.” It depicts Total Household Net Worth as a Percent of GDP.  The underlying data is from the Federal Reserve’s Z.1 report, “Financial Accounts of the United States“: (click on chart to enlarge … Read moreTotal Household Net Worth As A Percent Of GDP 1Q 2019

Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI)

The St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index (STLFSI) is one index that is supposed to measure stress in the financial system.  Its reading as of the May 30, 2019 update (reflecting data through May 24, 2019) is -1.244. Of course, there are a variety of other measures and indices that are supposed to measure financial stress and … Read moreChicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI)

Recession Probability Models – June 2019

There are a variety of economic models that are supposed to predict the probabilities of recession. While I don’t agree with the methodologies employed or probabilities of impending economic weakness as depicted by the following two models, I think the results of these models should be monitored. Please note that each of these models is … Read moreRecession Probability Models – June 2019

VIX Weekly And Monthly Charts Since The Year 2000 – June 4, 2019 Update

For reference purposes, below are two charts of the VIX from year 2000 through Monday’s (June 3, 2019) close, which had a closing value of 18.86. Here is the VIX Weekly chart, depicted on a LOG scale, with the 13- and 34-week moving averages, seen in the cyan and red lines, respectively: (click on chart … Read moreVIX Weekly And Monthly Charts Since The Year 2000 – June 4, 2019 Update

Charts Of Equities’ Performance Since March 9, 2009 And January 1, 1980 – June 4, 2019 Update

In the March 9, 2012 post (“Charts of Equities’ Performance Since March 9, 2009 And January 1, 1980“) I highlighted two charts for reference purposes. Below are those two charts, updated through the latest daily closing price. The first is a daily chart of the S&P500 (shown in green), as well as five prominent (AAPL, IBM, … Read moreCharts Of Equities’ Performance Since March 9, 2009 And January 1, 1980 – June 4, 2019 Update

Primary U.S. Stock Market Indexes Long-Term Price Charts

StockCharts.com maintains long-term historical charts of various major stock market indices, interest rates, currencies, commodities, and economic indicators. As a long-term reference, below are charts depicting various stock market indices for the dates shown.  All charts are depicted on a monthly basis using a LOG scale. (click on charts to enlarge images)(charts courtesy of StockCharts.com) The … Read morePrimary U.S. Stock Market Indexes Long-Term Price Charts

U.S. Dollar Decline – June 3, 2019 Update

U.S. Dollar weakness is a foremost concern of mine.  As such, I have extensively written about it.  I am very concerned that the actions being taken to “improve” our economic situation will dramatically weaken the Dollar.  Should the Dollar substantially decline from here, as I expect, the negative consequences will far outweigh any benefits.  The negative impact of a substantial … Read moreU.S. Dollar Decline – June 3, 2019 Update