Stock Market Capitalization To GDP – Through Q3 2019

“Stock market capitalization to GDP” is a notable and important metric regarding stock market valuation.  In February of 2009 I wrote of it in “Does Warren Buffett’s Market Metric Still Apply?” On the Doug Short site there is an update depicting this “stock market capitalization to GDP” metric. As seen in the January 6, 2020 … Read more Stock Market Capitalization To GDP – Through Q3 2019

VIX Weekly And Monthly Charts Since The Year 2000 – January 3, 2020 Update

For reference purposes, below are two charts of the VIX from year 2000 through Thursday’s (January 2, 2020) close, which had a closing value of 12.47. Here is the VIX Weekly chart, depicted on a LOG scale, with the 13- and 34-week moving averages, seen in the cyan and red lines, respectively: (click on chart … Read more VIX Weekly And Monthly Charts Since The Year 2000 – January 3, 2020 Update

Charts Of Equities’ Performance Since March 9, 2009 And January 1, 1980 – January 3, 2020 Update

In the March 9, 2012 post (“Charts of Equities’ Performance Since March 9, 2009 And January 1, 1980“) I highlighted two charts for reference purposes. Below are those two charts, updated through the latest daily closing price. The first is a daily chart of the S&P500 (shown in green), as well as five prominent (AAPL, IBM, … Read more Charts Of Equities’ Performance Since March 9, 2009 And January 1, 1980 – January 3, 2020 Update

U.S. Stock Index Charts – Ultra Long-Term Perspective

StockCharts.com maintains long-term historical charts of various major stock market indices, interest rates, currencies, commodities, and economic indicators. As a long-term reference, below are charts depicting various stock market indices for the dates shown.  All charts are depicted on a monthly basis using a LOG scale. (click on charts to enlarge images)(charts courtesy of StockCharts.com) The … Read more U.S. Stock Index Charts – Ultra Long-Term Perspective

U.S. Dollar Decline – January 2, 2020 Update

U.S. Dollar weakness is a foremost concern of mine.  As such, I have extensively written about it.  I am very concerned that the actions being taken to “improve” our economic situation will dramatically weaken the Dollar.  Should the Dollar substantially decline from here, as I expect, the negative consequences will far outweigh any benefits.  The negative impact of a substantial … Read more U.S. Dollar Decline – January 2, 2020 Update

Consumer Confidence Surveys – As Of December 31, 2019

The Doug Short site had a post of December 31, 2019 (“Consumer Confidence: ‘Consumer Confidence Unlikely to Gain Momentum in Early 2020‘“) that displays the latest Conference Board Consumer Confidence and Thomson/Reuters University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index charts.  They are presented below: (click on charts to enlarge images) – There are a few aspects … Read more Consumer Confidence Surveys – As Of December 31, 2019

The U.S. Economy, U.S.Financial Conditions And Future Consequences

Various surveys, economic growth projections, and market risk indicators continue to indicate U.S. economic growth and financial system stability for the foreseeable future. However, there are various indications – many of which have been discussed on this site – that this very widely-held consensus is in many ways incorrect.  There are many exceedingly problematical financial conditions that … Read more The U.S. Economy, U.S.Financial Conditions And Future Consequences

misc. note – corrections of blog posts

In the July 2, 2010 post I explained my policy with regard to changing the content of posts after the day the posts have been published on the blog. While I change bad links and incorrect formatting without notification, I believe that changing blog posts’ content warrants disclosure. Over time I have made corrections to content on … Read more misc. note – corrections of blog posts

Durable Goods New Orders – Long-Term Charts Through November 2019

Many people place emphasis on Durable Goods New Orders as a prominent economic indicator and/or leading economic indicator. For reference, below are two charts depicting this measure. First, from the St. Louis Fed site (FRED), a chart through November 2019, updated on December 23, 2019. This value is $242,625 ($ Millions): (click on charts to … Read more Durable Goods New Orders – Long-Term Charts Through November 2019

Updates Of Economic Indicators December 2019

The following is an update of various indicators that are supposed to predict and/or depict economic activity. These indicators have been discussed in previous blog posts: The December 2019 Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) updated as of December 23, 2019: The CFNAI, with current reading of .56: source:  Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Chicago Fed National Activity … Read more Updates Of Economic Indicators December 2019