Broad-Based Indicators Of Economic Activity

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) and the Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index (ADS Index) are two broad-based economic indicators that I regularly feature in this site. The current levels of each are notable, as they are flagging from a short-term perspective and their long-term trends continue to sink. Doug Short, in his blog post … Read moreBroad-Based Indicators Of Economic Activity

Long-Term Charts Of The ECRI WLI & ECRI WLI, Gr. – December 28, 2012 Update

As I stated in my July 12, 2010 post (“ECRI WLI Growth History“): For a variety of reasons, I am not as enamored with ECRI’s WLI and WLI Growth measures as many are. However, I do think the measures are important and deserve close monitoring and scrutiny. The movement of the ECRI WLI and WLI, … Read moreLong-Term Charts Of The ECRI WLI & ECRI WLI, Gr. – December 28, 2012 Update

St. Louis Financial Stress Index – December 27, 2012 Update

On March 28, 2011 I wrote a post (“The STLFSI“) about the  STLFSI (St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index) which is supposed to measure stress in the financial system.  For reference purposes, the most recent chart is seen below.  This chart was last updated on December 27, incorporating data from December 31,1993 to December 21, … Read moreSt. Louis Financial Stress Index – December 27, 2012 Update

Consumer Confidence Surveys – As Of December 28, 2012

Doug Short had a blog post of December 27 (“Consumer Confidence Takes a Plunge“) in which he presents the latest Conference Board Consumer Confidence and Thomson/Reuters University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index charts.  They are presented below: (click on charts to enlarge images) – – There are a few aspects of the above charts that I … Read moreConsumer Confidence Surveys – As Of December 28, 2012

House Prices Reference Chart

As a reference for long-term house price index trends, below is a chart, updated with the most current data (through October), from the CalculatedRisk blog post of December 26 titled “Comment on House Prices, Real House Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio” : (click on chart to enlarge image) _____ The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic … Read moreHouse Prices Reference Chart

Zillow December 2012 Home Price Expectations Survey – Summary & Comments

On December 26, the Zillow December 2012 Home Price Expectations Survey (pdf) results were released.  This survey is done on a quarterly basis. An image from the December 2012 Survey results is seen below: (click on chart image to enlarge)   As one can see from the above chart, the average expectation is that the residential real estate market, … Read moreZillow December 2012 Home Price Expectations Survey – Summary & Comments

December 2012 Duke/CFO Magazine Global Business Outlook Survey – Notable Excerpts

On December 12 the December Duke/CFO Magazine Global Business Outlook Survey (pdf) was released.  It contains a variety of statistics regarding how CFOs view business and economic conditions. In this CFO Survey, I found the following to be the most notable excerpt: The fiscal cliff is among the greatest concerns affecting the corporate sector, trailing only weak consumer demand … Read moreDecember 2012 Duke/CFO Magazine Global Business Outlook Survey – Notable Excerpts

Durable Goods New Orders – Long-Term Charts Through November 2012

Many people place emphasis on Durable Goods New Orders as a prominent economic indicator and/or leading economic indicator. For reference, below are charts depicting this measure. First, from the St. Louis Fed site (FRED), a chart through November, last updated on December 21.  This value is 220,941 ($ Millions) : (click on charts to enlarge … Read moreDurable Goods New Orders – Long-Term Charts Through November 2012

Updates On Economic Indicators December 2012

Here is an update on various indicators that are supposed to predict and/or depict economic activity.  These indicators have been discussed in previous blog posts: The December Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI)(pdf) updated as of December 21, 2012: – The ECRI WLI (Weekly Leading Index): As of 12/21/12 (incorporating data through 12/14/12) the WLI was at … Read moreUpdates On Economic Indicators December 2012

Long-Term Charts Of The ECRI WLI & ECRI WLI, Gr. – December 21, 2012 Update

As I stated in my July 12, 2010 post (“ECRI WLI Growth History“): For a variety of reasons, I am not as enamored with ECRI’s WLI and WLI Growth measures as many are. However, I do think the measures are important and deserve close monitoring and scrutiny. The movement of the ECRI WLI and WLI, … Read moreLong-Term Charts Of The ECRI WLI & ECRI WLI, Gr. – December 21, 2012 Update