Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI)

The St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index (STLFSI2) is one index that is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. Its reading as of the December 2, 2021 update (reflecting data through November 26, 2021) is -.6440: source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index [STLFSI2], retrieved from FRED, …

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The CFO Survey Fourth Quarter 2021 – Notable Excerpts

On December 2, 2021 the latest CFO Survey (formerly called the “Duke/CFO Global Business Outlook”) was released.  It contains a variety of statistics regarding how CFOs view business and economic conditions. In this CFO Survey press release, I found the following to be the most notable excerpts – although I don’t necessarily agree with them: CFOs reported rising …

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Updates Of Economic Indicators November 2021

The following is an update of various indicators that are supposed to predict and/or depict economic activity. These indicators have been discussed in previous blog posts: The November 2021 Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) updated as of November 22, 2021: The CFNAI, with a current reading of .76: source:  Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Chicago Fed National …

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Philadelphia Fed – 4th Quarter 2021 Survey Of Professional Forecasters

The Philadelphia Fed 4th Quarter 2021 Survey of Professional Forecasters was released on November 15, 2021.  This survey is somewhat unique in various regards, such as it incorporates a longer time frame for various measures. The survey shows, among many measures, the following median expectations: Real GDP: (annual average level) full-year 2021:  5.5% full-year 2022:  3.9% full-year 2023:  …

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Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI)

The St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index (STLFSI2) is one index that is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. Its reading as of the November 11, 2021 update (reflecting data through November 5, 2021) is -.8724: source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index [STLFSI2], retrieved from FRED, …

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