America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas
I have written many blog posts concerning the worrisome trends in income and earnings. Along these lines, one of the measures showing disconcerting trends is that of hourly earnings. While the concept of hourly earnings can be defined and measured in a variety of ways, below are a few charts that I believe broadly illustrate problematic …
Doug Short had a blog post of August 1, 2014 (“July Michigan Consumer Sentiment at Four-Month Low“) in which he presents the latest Conference Board Consumer Confidence and Thomson/Reuters University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index charts. They are presented below: (click on charts to enlarge images) – – There are a few aspects of the above charts …
For reference purposes, below is a chart from Doug Short depicting Real GDP, with a trendline, as depicted: _____ The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic situation SPX at 1970.07 as this post is written
Here are three charts from the St. Louis Fed depicting the velocity of money in terms of the MZM, M1 and M2 money supply measures. All charts reflect quarterly data through the 2nd quarter of 2014, and were last updated as of July 30, 2014. As one can see, one of the three measures is at an …
I have written many blog posts concerning the worrisome trends in income and earnings. Doug Short, in his July 28, 2014 post titled “Real Median Household Income Rose .69 Percent in June” produced the chart below. It is based upon data from Sentier Research, and it shows both nominal and real median household incomes since 2000, as …
Many people place emphasis on Durable Goods New Orders as a prominent economic indicator and/or leading economic indicator. For reference, below are charts depicting this measure. First, from the St. Louis Fed site (FRED), a chart through June, last updated on July 25, 2014. This value is 239,917 ($ Millions) : (click on charts to …
With regard to our current economic situation, my thoughts can best be described/summarized by the posts found under the 38 “Building Financial Danger” posts. My thoughts concerning our ongoing economic situation – with future implications – can be seen on the page titled “A Special Note On Our Economic Situation,” which has been found near …
I find the following charts to be disturbing. These charts would be disturbing at any point in the economic cycle; that they (on average) depict such a tenuous situation now – 61 months after the official (as per the September 20, 2010 NBER BCDC announcement) June 2009 end of the recession – is especially notable. These …
Recently many indicators that are supposed to depict the level of risk in the financial markets and economy have been at or near all-time lows. Among these indicators are those that are broadly based, such as the VIX, VXO (VIX predecessor), St. Louis Financial Stress Index (STLFSI), and Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI), as …
I have written many blog posts concerning the worrisome trends in income and earnings. Along these lines, one of the measures showing disconcerting trends is that of hourly earnings. While the concept of hourly earnings can be defined and measured in a variety of ways, below are a few charts that I believe broadly illustrate problematic …