Tag Archives: disturbing charts

Disturbing Charts (Update 33)

I find the following charts to be disturbing. These charts would be disturbing at any point in the economic cycle; that they (on average) depict such a tenuous situation now – 115 months after the official (as per the September 20, 2010 NBER BCDC announcement) June 2009 end of the recession – is especially notable.

These charts raise a lot of questions. As well, they highlight the “atypical” nature of our economic situation from a long-term historical perspective.

All of these charts are from the Federal Reserve, and represent the most recently updated data.

(click on charts to enlarge images)

Housing starts (last updated December 18, 2018):

US. Bureau of the Census, Housing Starts: Total: New Privately Owned Housing Units Started [HOUST], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/HOUST/, January 15, 2019.

–

The Federal Deficit (last updated October 16, 2018):

US. Office of Management and Budget, Federal Surplus or Deficit [-] [FYFSD], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/FYFSD/, January 15, 2019.

–

Federal Net Outlays (last updated October 16, 2018):

US. Office of Management and Budget, Federal Net Outlays [FYONET], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/FYONET/, January 15, 2019.

–

State & Local Personal Income Tax Receipts (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated July 27, 2018):

US. Bureau of Economic Analysis, State and local government current tax receipts: Personal current taxes: Income taxes [ASLPITAX], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/ASLPITAX/, January 15, 2019.

–

Total Loans and Leases of Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated January 11, 2019):

Total Loans And Leases Percent Change From Year Ago

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Loans and Leases in Bank Credit, All Commercial Banks [TOTLL], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/TOTLL/, January 15, 2019.

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Bank Credit – All Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated January 11, 2019):

Total Bank Credit Percent Change From Year Ago

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Bank Credit of All Commercial Banks [TOTBKCR], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/TOTBKCR/, January 15, 2019.

–

M1 Money Multiplier (last updated January 11, 2019):

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, M1 Money Multiplier [MULT], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MULT/, January 15, 2019.

–

Median Duration of Unemployment (last updated January 4, 2019):

US. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Median Duration of Unemployment [UEMPMED], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/UEMPMED/, January 15, 2019.

–

Labor Force Participation Rate (last updated January 4, 2019):

US. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate [CIVPART], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/CIVPART/, January 15, 2019.

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The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3-month moving average (CFNAI-MA3)(last updated December 24, 2018):

Chicago Fed National Activity Index 3-Month Moving Average

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Chicago Fed National Activity Index: Three Month Moving Average [CFNAIMA3], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/CFNAIMA3/, January 15, 2019.

–

I will continue to update these charts on an intermittent basis as they deserve close monitoring…

_____

The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic situation

SPX at 2610.30 as this post is written

Disturbing Charts (Update 32)

I find the following charts to be disturbing. These charts would be disturbing at any point in the economic cycle; that they (on average) depict such a tenuous situation now – 112 months after the official (as per the September 20, 2010 NBER BCDC announcement) June 2009 end of the recession – is especially notable.

These charts raise a lot of questions. As well, they highlight the “atypical” nature of our economic situation from a long-term historical perspective.

All of these charts are from the Federal Reserve, and represent the most recently updated data.

(click on charts to enlarge images)

Housing starts (last updated September 19, 2018):

–

The Federal Deficit (last updated March 27, 2018):

–

Federal Net Outlays (last updated March 27, 2018):

US. Office of Management and Budget, Federal Net Outlays [FYONET], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/FYONET/, October 15, 2018.

–

State & Local Personal Income Tax Receipts (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated July 27, 2018):

–

Total Loans and Leases of Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated October 12, 2018):

–

Bank Credit – All Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated October 12, 2018):

–

M1 Money Multiplier (last updated October 11, 2018):

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, M1 Money Multiplier [MULT], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MULT/, October 15, 2018.

–

Median Duration of Unemployment (last updated October 5, 2018):

–

Labor Force Participation Rate (last updated October 5, 2018):

–

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3-month moving average (CFNAI-MA3)(last updated September 24, 2018):

–

I will continue to update these charts on an intermittent basis as they deserve close monitoring…

_____

The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic situation

SPX at 2750.79 as this post is written

Disturbing Charts (Update 31)

I find the following charts to be disturbing. These charts would be disturbing at any point in the economic cycle; that they (on average) depict such a tenuous situation now – 109 months after the official (as per the September 20, 2010 NBER BCDC announcement) June 2009 end of the recession – is especially notable.

These charts raise a lot of questions. As well, they highlight the “atypical” nature of our economic situation from a long-term historical perspective.

All of these charts are from the Federal Reserve, and represent the most recently updated data.

(click on charts to enlarge images)

Housing starts (last updated June 19, 2018):

–

The Federal Deficit (last updated March 27, 2018):

US. Office of Management and Budget, Federal Surplus or Deficit [-] [FYFSD], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/FYFSD/, July 13, 2018.

–

Federal Net Outlays (last updated March 27, 2018):

US. Office of Management and Budget, Federal Net Outlays [FYONET], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/FYONET/, July 13, 2018.

–

State & Local Personal Income Tax Receipts (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated March 28, 2018):

–

Total Loans and Leases of Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated July 6, 2018):

–

Bank Credit – All Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated July 6, 2018):

–

M1 Money Multiplier (last updated July 12, 2018):

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, M1 Money Multiplier [MULT], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MULT/, July 13, 2018.

–

Median Duration of Unemployment (last updated July 6, 2018):

US. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Median Duration of Unemployment [UEMPMED], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/UEMPMED/, July 6, 2018.

–

Labor Force Participation Rate (last updated July 6, 2018):

–

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3-month moving average (CFNAI-MA3)(last updated June 25, 2018):

–

I will continue to update these charts on an intermittent basis as they deserve close monitoring…

_____

The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic situation

SPX at 2801.31 as this post is written

Disturbing Charts (Update 30)

I find the following charts to be disturbing. These charts would be disturbing at any point in the economic cycle; that they (on average) depict such a tenuous situation now – 106 months after the official (as per the September 20, 2010 NBER BCDC announcement) June 2009 end of the recession – is especially notable.

These charts raise a lot of questions. As well, they highlight the “atypical” nature of our economic situation from a long-term historical perspective.

All of these charts are from the Federal Reserve, and represent the most recently updated data.

(click on charts to enlarge images)

Housing starts (last updated March 16, 2018):

–

The Federal Deficit (last updated March 27, 2018):

–

Federal Net Outlays (last updated March 27, 2018):

US. Office of Management and Budget, Federal Net Outlays [FYONET], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/FYONET/, April 13, 2018.

–

State & Local Personal Income Tax Receipts (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated March 28, 2018):

–

Total Loans and Leases of Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated April 6, 2018):

–

Bank Credit – All Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated April 6, 2018):

–

M1 Money Multiplier (last updated April 5, 2018):

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, M1 Money Multiplier [MULT], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MULT/, April 13, 2018.

–

Median Duration of Unemployment (last updated April 6, 2018):

–

Labor Force Participation Rate (last updated April 6, 2018):

–

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3-month moving average (CFNAI-MA3)(last updated March 26, 2018):

–

I will continue to update these charts on an intermittent basis as they deserve close monitoring…

_____

The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic situation

SPX at 2656.30 as this post is written

Disturbing Charts (Update 29)

I find the following charts to be disturbing. These charts would be disturbing at any point in the economic cycle; that they (on average) depict such a tenuous situation now – 103 months after the official (as per the September 20, 2010 NBER BCDC announcement) June 2009 end of the recession – is especially notable.

These charts raise a lot of questions. As well, they highlight the “atypical” nature of our economic situation from a long-term historical perspective.

All of these charts are from the Federal Reserve, and represent the most recently updated data.

(click on charts to enlarge images)

Housing starts (last updated December 19, 2017):

–

The Federal Deficit (last updated October 20, 2017):

–

Federal Net Outlays (last updated October 20, 2017):

US. Office of Management and Budget, Federal Net Outlays [FYONET], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/FYONET/, January 16, 2018.

–

State & Local Personal Income Tax Receipts (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated October 27, 2017):

–

Total Loans and Leases of Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated January 5, 2018):

–

Bank Credit – All Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated January 5, 2018):

–

M1 Money Multiplier (last updated January 11, 2018):

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, M1 Money Multiplier [MULT], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MULT/, January 16, 2018.

–

Median Duration of Unemployment (last updated January 5, 2018):

–

Labor Force Participation Rate (last updated January 5, 2018):

–

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3-month moving average (CFNAI-MA3)(last updated December 21, 2017):

–

I will continue to update these charts on an intermittent basis as they deserve close monitoring…

_____

The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic situation

SPX at 2776.42 as this post is written

Disturbing Charts (Update 28)

I find the following charts to be disturbing. These charts would be disturbing at any point in the economic cycle; that they (on average) depict such a tenuous situation now – 100 months after the official (as per the September 20, 2010 NBER BCDC announcement) June 2009 end of the recession – is especially notable.

These charts raise a lot of questions. As well, they highlight the “atypical” nature of our economic situation from a long-term historical perspective.

All of these charts are from the Federal Reserve, and represent the most recently updated data.

(click on charts to enlarge images)

Housing starts (last updated 9-19-17):

–

The Federal Deficit (last updated 8-8-17):

–

Federal Net Outlays (last updated 8-8-17):

US. Office of Management and Budget, Federal Net Outlays [FYONET], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/FYONET/, October 14, 2017.

–

State & Local Personal Income Tax Receipts (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated 7-28-17):

–

Total Loans and Leases of Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated 10-13-17):

–

Bank Credit – All Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated 10-13-17):

–

M1 Money Multiplier (last updated 10-5-17):

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, M1 Money Multiplier [MULT], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MULT/, October 14, 2017.

–

Median Duration of Unemployment (last updated 10-6-17):

–

Labor Force Participation Rate (last updated 10-6-17):

–

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3-month moving average (CFNAI-MA3)(last updated 9-25-17):

–

I will continue to update these charts on an intermittent basis as they deserve close monitoring…

_____

The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic situation

SPX at 2553.17 as this post is written

Disturbing Charts (Update 27)

I find the following charts to be disturbing. These charts would be disturbing at any point in the economic cycle; that they (on average) depict such a tenuous situation now – 97 months after the official (as per the September 20, 2010 NBER BCDC announcement) June 2009 end of the recession – is especially notable.

These charts raise a lot of questions. As well, they highlight the “atypical” nature of our economic situation from a long-term historical perspective.

All of these charts are from the Federal Reserve, and represent the most recently updated data.

(click on charts to enlarge images)

Housing starts (last updated 6-19-17):

–

The Federal Deficit (last updated 1-9-17):

US. Office of Management and Budget, Federal Surplus or Deficit [-] [FYFSD], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/FYFSD/, July 12, 2017.

–

Federal Net Outlays (last updated 1-9-17):

US. Office of Management and Budget, Federal Net Outlays [FYONET], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/FYONET/, July 12, 2017.

–

State & Local Personal Income Tax Receipts (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated 3-30-17):

–

Total Loans and Leases of Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated 7-7-17):

–

Bank Credit – All Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated 7-7-17):

–

M1 Money Multiplier (last updated 6-29-17):

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, M1 Money Multiplier [MULT], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MULT/, July 12, 2017.

–

Median Duration of Unemployment (last updated 7-7-17):

US. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Median Duration of Unemployment [UEMPMED], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/UEMPMED/, July 12, 2017.

–

Labor Force Participation Rate (last updated 7-7-17):

–

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3-month moving average (CFNAI-MA3)(last updated 6-26-17):

–

I will continue to update these charts on an intermittent basis as they deserve close monitoring…

_____

The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic situation

SPX at 2443.25 as this post is written

Disturbing Charts (Update 26)

I find the following charts to be disturbing. These charts would be disturbing at any point in the economic cycle; that they (on average) depict such a tenuous situation now – 94 months after the official (as per the September 20, 2010 NBER BCDC announcement) June 2009 end of the recession – is especially notable.

These charts raise a lot of questions. As well, they highlight the “atypical” nature of our economic situation from a long-term historical perspective.

All of these charts are from the Federal Reserve, and represent the most recently updated data.

(click on charts to enlarge images)

Housing starts (last updated 3-16-17):

–

The Federal Deficit (last updated 1-9-17):

–

Federal Net Outlays (last updated 1-9-17):

US. Office of Management and Budget, Federal Net Outlays [FYONET], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/FYONET/, April 17, 2017.

–

State & Local Personal Income Tax Receipts (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated 3-30-17):

–

Total Loans and Leases of Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated 4-14-17):

–

Bank Credit – All Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated 4-14-17):

–

M1 Money Multiplier (last updated 4-6-17):

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, M1 Money Multiplier [MULT], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MULT/, April 17, 2017.

–

Median Duration of Unemployment (last updated 4-7-17):

–

Labor Force Participation Rate (last updated 4-7-17):

–

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3-month moving average (CFNAI-MA3)(last updated 3-20-17):

–

I will continue to update these charts on an intermittent basis as they deserve close monitoring…

_____

The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic situation

SPX at 2349.01 as this post is written

Disturbing Charts (Update 25)

I find the following charts to be disturbing. These charts would be disturbing at any point in the economic cycle; that they (on average) depict such a tenuous situation now – 91 months after the official (as per the September 20, 2010 NBER BCDC announcement) June 2009 end of the recession – is especially notable.

These charts raise a lot of questions. As well, they highlight the “atypical” nature of our economic situation from a long-term historical perspective.

All of these charts are from the Federal Reserve, and represent the most recently updated data.

(click on charts to enlarge images)

Housing starts (last updated 12-16-16):

–

The Federal Deficit (last updated 1-9-17):

–

Federal Net Outlays (last updated 1-9-17):

US. Office of Management and Budget, Federal Net Outlays [FYONET], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/FYONET/, January 16, 2017.

–

State & Local Personal Income Tax Receipts (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated 7-29-16):

–

Total Loans and Leases of Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated 1-13-17):

–

Bank Credit – All Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated 1-13-17):

–

M1 Money Multiplier (last updated 1-12-17):

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, M1 Money Multiplier [MULT], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MULT/, January 16, 2017.

–

Median Duration of Unemployment (last updated 1-6-17):

–

Labor Force Participation Rate (last updated 1-6-17):

–

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3-month moving average (CFNAI-MA3)(last updated 12-22-16):

–

I will continue to update these charts on an intermittent basis as they deserve close monitoring…

_____

The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic situation

SPX at 2274.64 as this post is written

Disturbing Charts (Update 24)

I find the following charts to be disturbing. These charts would be disturbing at any point in the economic cycle; that they (on average) depict such a tenuous situation now – 88 months after the official (as per the September 20, 2010 NBER BCDC announcement) June 2009 end of the recession – is especially notable.

These charts raise a lot of questions. As well, they highlight the “atypical” nature of our economic situation from a long-term historical perspective.

All of these charts are from the Federal Reserve, and represent the most recently updated data.

(click on charts to enlarge images)

Housing starts (last updated 9-20-16):

–

The Federal Deficit (last updated 3-14-16):

–

Federal Net Outlays (last updated 3-14-16):

US. Office of Management and Budget, Federal Net Outlays [FYONET], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/FYONET/, October 12, 2016.

–

State & Local Personal Income Tax Receipts (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated 7-29-16):

–

Total Loans and Leases of Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated 10-7-16):

–

Bank Credit – All Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated 10-7-16):

–

M1 Money Multiplier (last updated 10-6-16):

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, M1 Money Multiplier [MULT], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MULT/, October 12, 2016.

–

Median Duration of Unemployment (last updated 10-7-16):

–

Labor Force Participation Rate (last updated 10-7-16):

–

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3-month moving average (CFNAI-MA3)(last updated 9-22-16):

–

I will continue to update these charts on an intermittent basis as they deserve close monitoring…

_____

The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic situation

SPX at 2139.17 as this post is written

EconomicGreenfield

America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas

Tag Archives: disturbing charts

Disturbing Charts (Update 33)

Housing starts (last updated December 18, 2018):

The Federal Deficit (last updated October 16, 2018):

Federal Net Outlays (last updated October 16, 2018):

State & Local Personal Income Tax Receipts (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated July 27, 2018):

Total Loans and Leases of Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated January 11, 2019):

Bank Credit – All Commercial Banks (% Change from Year Ago)(last updated January 11, 2019):

M1 Money Multiplier (last updated January 11, 2019):

Median Duration of Unemployment (last updated January 4, 2019):

Labor Force Participation Rate (last updated January 4, 2019):

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) 3-month moving average (CFNAI-MA3)(last updated December 24, 2018):

Disturbing Charts (Update 32)

Disturbing Charts (Update 31)

Disturbing Charts (Update 30)

Disturbing Charts (Update 29)

Disturbing Charts (Update 28)

Disturbing Charts (Update 27)

Disturbing Charts (Update 26)

Disturbing Charts (Update 25)

Disturbing Charts (Update 24)