America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas
There has been an immense amount of material written about additional Quantitative Easing (QE2). Here are some of the works that I have found among the most interesting (although I don’t necessarily agree with what is being said): “Guidelines for Global Economic Policymaking,” (pdf) Gregory Hess, Shadow Open Market Committee, October 12, 2010 Investment Outlook, …
On April 21 I wrote a post titled “Recession Measures – Two Charts.” That post referenced an April 12 CalculatedRisk blog post titled “Recession Measures.” In it, Bill discussed key measures that the NBER uses to determine recoveries, and posted four charts. Here are those charts, updated in his October 29 post. The charts are …
The following commentary and chart is excerpted from the October 14, 2010 ContraryInvestor.com commentary. I find it interesting in a variety of different ways, and it raises a lot of questions with regard to the stock market, consumer confidence, QE1, and QE2… _____ “We have not touched on consumer confidence for a good while, but …
Here is an update on various indicators that are supposed to predict and/or depict economic activity. These indicators have been discussed in previous blog posts: The October Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI)(pdf) updated as of October 25, 2010: – The Consumer Metrics Institute Contraction Watch: – The USA TODAY/IHS Global Insight Economic Outlook Index: …
(this is the fifth in a series of five posts concerning the markets) Lastly, a couple of charts showing the S&P500… First, one that shows the S&P500 on a weekly basis, LOG scale, since 2007. I continue to find this chart interesting for a variety of reasons. It shows that resistance has become support, as …
(this is the fourth in a series of five posts concerning the markets) Starting with my June 2 post I wrote of my expectation for a near-term stock market advance despite what I viewed as highly problematical future conditions. I continue to maintain this view, albeit with the dangers discussed in the post of October …
(this is the third in a series of five posts concerning the markets) The bond market is believed by many to be an asset bubble. I agree with this assessment, and have written a few posts on the subject. I discussed when it may “burst” and other considerations in an October 4 post. The chart …
(this is the second in a series of five posts concerning the markets) I would like to start by featuring a couple of long-term charts of the U.S. Dollar. U.S. Dollar weakness is a foremost concern of mine. As such, I have extensively written about it. I am very concerned that the actions being taken …
This series of blog posts (5 posts) represents a periodic Technical Analysis of the markets. In this series I will discuss currencies (US Dollar and Japanese Yen); Gold; The Bond Market & Interest Rates; and the Stock Market. I feel that this is an important juncture in investing for many reasons. Many markets have experienced strong gains …
There has been much written as to the future of residential real estate prices. The consensus appears to be for very slight appreciation for years. This consensus is echoed in the MacroMarkets September 2010 Home Price Expectations Survey Press Release (pdf). Here is a chart from that survey that shows the past history (green line) …