Real GDP Chart Since 1947 With Trendline – 3rd Quarter 2022

For reference purposes, below is a chart from the Advisor Perspectives’ post of October 27, 2022 titled “Q3 GDP Advance Estimate: Real GDP at 2.6%” reflecting Real GDP, with a trendline, as depicted.  This chart incorporates the Gross Domestic Product, Third Quarter 2022 (Advance Estimate) of October 27, 2022: _________ I post various indicators and indices because …

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Durable Goods New Orders – Long-Term Charts Through September 2022

Many people place emphasis on Durable Goods New Orders as a prominent economic indicator and/or leading economic indicator. For reference, below are two charts depicting this measure. First, from the St. Louis Fed site (FRED), a chart through September 2022, updated on October 27, 2022. This value is $274,717 ($ Millions): (click on charts to …

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Money Supply Charts Through September 2022

For reference purposes, below are two sets of charts depicting growth in the money supply. The first shows the M1, defined in FRED as the following: Before May 2020, M1 consists of (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) demand deposits at commercial banks (excluding those …

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Disturbing Charts (Update 47)

The following is the latest update of 10 charts that depict various aspects of the U.S. economic and financial situation. I find these charts portray disturbing long-term trends. These trends have been in effect for years. These charts raise a lot of questions.  As well, they highlight the “atypical” nature of our economic situation from …

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Charts Indicating Economic Weakness – October 2022

Throughout this site there are many discussions of economic indicators.  This post is the latest in a series of posts indicating facets of U.S. economic weakness or a notably low growth rate. The level and trend of economic growth is especially notable at this time. As seen in various estimates, the probability of recession has grown significantly and the second …

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Average Hourly Earnings Trends

I have written many blog posts concerning the worrisome trends in income and earnings. Along these lines, one of the measures showing disconcerting trends is that of hourly earnings. While the concept of hourly earnings can be defined and measured in a variety of ways, below are a few charts that I believe broadly illustrate problematic …

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Consumer Confidence Surveys – As Of September 30, 2022

Advisor Perspectives had a post of September 30, 2022 (“Michigan Consumer Sentiment Mostly Unchanged in September“) that displays the latest Conference Board Consumer Confidence and University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index charts.  They are presented below: (click on charts to enlarge images) – While I don’t believe that confidence surveys should be overemphasized, I find these …

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Money Supply Charts Through August 2022

For reference purposes, below are two sets of charts depicting growth in the money supply. The first shows the M1, defined in FRED as the following: Before May 2020, M1 consists of (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) demand deposits at commercial banks (excluding those …

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Durable Goods New Orders – Long-Term Charts Through August 2022

Many people place emphasis on Durable Goods New Orders as a prominent economic indicator and/or leading economic indicator. For reference, below are two charts depicting this measure. First, from the St. Louis Fed site (FRED), a chart through August 2022, updated on September 27, 2022. This value is $272,659 ($ Millions): (click on charts to …

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