More Latest Thoughts from Economists

I’ve recently run across three other economist forecasting items I would like to post.  While I don’t mean to overemphasize these forecasts, I do think they are very significant on a number of fronts; and as such they deserve close monitoring and continual analysis and commentary: First, another economist forecast survey that seems generally in … Read moreMore Latest Thoughts from Economists

Some Latest Thoughts from Economists

The latest Wall Street Journal economist forecast survey says “the median forecast sees the end of the recession next month.” Meanwhile, I would like to point out this quote from Christina Romer, from a June 28 article, as she mentions the prospects of a “V” recovery: “I still hold out hope it will be a V-shaped … Read moreSome Latest Thoughts from Economists

Another Interesting New Index

I came across a new index that seems interesting. It is called the Dow Jones Economic Sentiment Indicator.  Details can be found here: The only comment I want to make on it at this time is that I find it of interest as it employs a different methodology.  I plan on monitoring this index. … Read moreAnother Interesting New Index

Another “The Worst May Soon Be Over” Forecast

The following story recently (June 25) ran in The Wall Street Journal: “OECD Says The Worst May Soon Be Over For The Global Economy” This conclusion, that “the worst may soon be over” and that recovery will quickly follow,  seems to be extremely widely held among forecasters, as documented elsewhere (such as the June … Read moreAnother “The Worst May Soon Be Over” Forecast

Current Economic Forecasts

It seems as if there appears to be a growing consensus among private and public sector economists regarding economic forecasts; that of slightly positive third-quarter GDP growth, which gradually improves going forward; as well as a peak in unemployment around 10%. This is reflected in the latest (June) Wall Street Journal Economic Forecasting survey : In the survey, … Read moreCurrent Economic Forecasts