America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas
The following chart is from the CalculatedRisk blog post of September 25, 2013 titled “Fed’s Q2 Flow of Funds: Household Mortgage Debt down $1.3 Trillion from Peak, Record Household Net Worth.” It depicts Total Household Net Worth as a Percent of GDP. The underlying data is from the Federal Reserve Flow of Funds 2Q 2013 report: (click on …
Many people place emphasis on Durable Goods New Orders as a prominent economic indicator and/or leading economic indicator. For reference, below are charts depicting this measure. First, from the St. Louis Fed site (FRED), a chart through August, last updated on September 25. This value is 224,916 ($ Millions) : (click on charts to enlarge …
Doug Short had a blog post of September 24 (“Consumer Confidence Comes in a Bit Below Expectations“) in which he presents the latest Conference Board Consumer Confidence and Thomson/Reuters University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index charts. They are presented below: (click on charts to enlarge images) – – There are a few aspects of the above …
With regard to our current economic situation, my thoughts can best be described/summarized by the posts found under the 28 “Building Financial Danger” posts. My thoughts concerning our ongoing economic situation – with future implications – can be seen on the page titled “A Special Note On Our Economic Situation,” which has been found near …
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) and the Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index (ADS Index) are two broad-based economic indicators that I regularly feature in this site. The current levels of each are notable, as they are vacillating from a short-term perspective and their long-term trends continue to sink. Doug Short, in his blog post …
The last two weeks have seen a variety of articles that discuss the five-year anniversary of the Financial Crisis of 2008, of which many date to the bankruptcy filing of Lehman Brothers on September 15, 2008. One frequent topic is whether today’s financial system has been sufficiently “strengthened” since September of 2008, so that subsequent …
I have written many blog posts concerning the worrisome trends in income and earnings. Along these lines, one of the measures showing disconcerting trends is that of hourly earnings. While the concept of hourly earnings can be defined and measured in a variety of ways, below are a few charts that I believe broadly illustrate problematic …
On September 3, Gallup released the poll results titled “U.S. Economic Confidence Lingers at Lower Level in August.” The subtitle is “Gallup’s Economic Confidence Index registers -13, similar to -12 in July.” Notable excerpts include: Americans remained more negative than positive last month about economic conditions in the U.S. The Gallup Economic Confidence Index averaged -13 …
Doug Short had a blog post of August 27 (“Consumer Confidence Comes in Above Expectations“) in which he presents the latest Conference Board Consumer Confidence and Thomson/Reuters University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index charts. They are presented below: (click on charts to enlarge images) – – There are a few aspects of the above charts that …
Many people place emphasis on Durable Goods New Orders as a prominent economic indicator and/or leading economic indicator. For reference, below are charts depicting this measure. First, from the St. Louis Fed site (FRED), a chart through July, last updated on August 26. This value is 226,620 ($ Millions) : (click on charts to enlarge …