America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas
In the December 16, 2019 edition of Barron’s, the cover story is titled “2020 Outlook.” Included in the story, 10 investment strategists give various forecasts for 2020 including S&P500 profits, S&P500 year-end price targets, GDP growth, and 10-Year Treasury Note Yields. As seen in the article, the average estimates among these 10 respondents is for … Read more 2020 Estimates For S&P500 Earnings & Price Levels
The December 2019 Livingston Survey (pdf) published on December 13, 2019 contains, among its various forecasts, a S&P500 forecast. It shows the following price forecast for the dates shown: Dec. 31, 2019 3130.0 June 30, 2020 3202.0 Dec. 31, 2020 3257.6 Dec. 31, 2021 3400.0 These figures represent the median value across the forecasters on the survey’s panel. … Read more S&P500 Price Projections – Livingston Survey December 2019
My overall analysis indicates a continuing elevated and growing level of financial danger which contains many worldwide and U.S.-specific “stresses” of a very complex nature. I have written numerous posts on this site concerning both ongoing and recent “negative developments.” These developments, as well as other exceedingly problematical conditions, have presented a highly perilous economic environment … Read more Building Financial Danger – December 9, 2019 Update
For reference purposes, below are two charts of the VIX from year 2000 through Monday’s (December 2, 2019) close, which had a closing value of 14.91. Here is the VIX Weekly chart, depicted on a LOG scale, with the 13- and 34-week moving averages, seen in the cyan and red lines, respectively: (click on chart … Read more VIX Weekly And Monthly Charts Since The Year 2000 – December 3, 2019 Update
In the March 9, 2012 post (“Charts of Equities’ Performance Since March 9, 2009 And January 1, 1980“) I highlighted two charts for reference purposes. Below are those two charts, updated through the latest daily closing price. The first is a daily chart of the S&P500 (shown in green), as well as five prominent (AAPL, IBM, … Read more Charts Of Equities’ Performance Since March 9, 2009 And January 1, 1980 – December 3, 2019 Update
StockCharts.com maintains long-term historical charts of various major stock market indices, interest rates, currencies, commodities, and economic indicators. As a long-term reference, below are charts depicting various stock market indices for the dates shown. All charts are depicted on a monthly basis using a LOG scale. (click on charts to enlarge images)(charts courtesy of StockCharts.com) The … Read more Four Ultra Long-Term Monthly U.S. Stock Index Charts
S&P500 earnings trends and estimates are a notably important topic, for a variety of reasons, at this point in time. FactSet publishes a report titled “Earnings Insight” that contains a variety of information including the trends and expectations of S&P500 earnings. For reference purposes, here are two charts as seen in the “Earnings Insight” (pdf) report of … Read more Trends Of S&P500 Earnings Forecasts
As many are aware, Refinitiv publishes earnings estimates for the S&P500. (My other posts concerning S&P earnings estimates can be found under the S&P500 Earnings tag) The following estimates are from Exhibit 24 of the “S&P500 Earnings Scorecard” (pdf) of November 18, 2019, and represent an aggregation of individual S&P500 component “bottom up” analyst forecasts. For reference, the … Read more S&P500 EPS Forecasts 2019 Through 2021 And Past Actual EPS
As many are aware, Standard & Poor’s publishes earnings estimates for the S&P500. (My posts concerning their estimates can be found under the S&P500 Earnings tag) For reference purposes, the most current estimates are reflected below, and are as of November 11, 2019: Year 2019 estimates add to the following: -From a “bottom up” perspective, operating earnings of $159.12/share … Read more Standard & Poor’s S&P500 EPS Estimates 2019 & 2020 – November 11, 2019
My overall analysis indicates a continuing elevated and growing level of financial danger which contains many worldwide and U.S.-specific “stresses” of a very complex nature. I have written numerous posts on this site concerning both ongoing and recent “negative developments.” These developments, as well as other exceedingly problematical conditions, have presented a highly perilous economic environment … Read more Building Financial Danger – November 8, 2019 Update