Extreme Peril In The Stock Market

Please note – some might find this post disturbing In this post I will summarize my thoughts on the markets, particularly the stock market.  As has been the case since the Economic Crisis began, any stock market weakness will most likely be mirrored in a variety of other markets as well, such as commodities, credit, etc. … Read more Extreme Peril In The Stock Market

Peril In The Markets? Part IV

The price action in the S&P500 since the March low at ~666 has struck me as being very “impulsive.”  This is certainly a cause for concern.  Also, there certainly has not been any significant “wall of worry” that one would expect given the fundamentals. The charts seen in this post are from Maurice Walker, http://thechartpatterntrader.com.  First, a … Read more Peril In The Markets? Part IV

Peril In The Markets? Part III

Moving on to the stock market…  The first chart is the NYSE Summation Index.  I have put in the S&P500 as an overlay in green, with the NYSE Summation Index’s MACD at the bottom of the chart.  What I find interesting here is the negative MACD divergence as indicated on the chart, in blue: Chart … Read more Peril In The Markets? Part III

Peril In The Markets? Part II

I have included two charts of the Ten-Year Treasury yields below – one daily and one monthly.  The monthly is provided for a longer-term perspective. I would like to address the daily chart.  It seems odd that in an environment in which inflation is (purportedly) a growing concern the economy is supposedly recovering faster than … Read more Peril In The Markets? Part II

Peril In The Markets? Part I

The next few posts will contain some of my thoughts on the markets from a Technical Analysis perspective.   Typically I don’t comment about my observations from a technical perspective.  However, I believe we are at a very critical juncture here in the markets.   I am not aware of anyone discussing imminent peril in the markets right now, … Read more Peril In The Markets? Part I

P/E Ratios and Inflation / Deflation

I recently came across an interesting chart titled “Relationship Of Inflation and Price/Earnings Ratios (1900-2008).”  It is from Crestmont Research and can be found at this link: http://www.crestmontresearch.com/pdfs/Stock%20Inflation%20&%20PE.pdf It shows the effect of inflation and deflation (as defined by the CPI) on the P/E Ratio. I think that it is worth looking at for a variety … Read more P/E Ratios and Inflation / Deflation

The Hyperinflation Theme

One of the more prevalent themes mentioned has been the possibility, or probability, of hyperinflation.  Hyperinflation is often mentioned due to the degree of “money pumping” and other intervention measures that have occurred in the last two years to combat this period of economic weakness. However, despite all of the predictions of hyperinflation, there appears to … Read more The Hyperinflation Theme

The Madoff Fraud – Are There More?

Here is the latest update on the Madoff sentencing from CNBC: http://www.cnbc.com/id/31610169 A few months ago, I wrote an article titled “Crime During Economic Stress,” that is listed under the “Individuals” section (about halfway down the page) here: https://www.economicgreenfield.com/prosperitybypencom-directory/ One of the questions that I have is whether there are more frauds in existence that haven’t yet … Read more The Madoff Fraud – Are There More?