Phenomenal Investment Opportunities

It is my belief that there will be many phenomenal investment opportunities arising in the near and intermediate future.   Many more than during an  average time period. However, I am also of the belief that they will be harder to “realize” for a variety of reasons.  Of course, the main prerequisite is having sufficient funds available … Read morePhenomenal Investment Opportunities

The Changing Investment Climate

Here is a link to an interesting White Paper from Guy Haselmann of Gregoire Capital, dated August 2009: http://www.gregoirecapital.com/HF%20Outlook%208-09.pdf I found it interesting because it discusses a variety of very important concepts such as investment flexibility, market dislocations, inflation vs. deflation, diversification, hedge fund operating risk, etc.   SPX at 1063.22 as this post is written

The “Buy and Hold” Philosophy

Here is a story from CNBC.com on September 23: “Buy-and-Hold Investing Makes A Return After Turbulent Year” http://www.cnbc.com/id/32970487 I am not a fan of the “Buy and Hold” philosophy, although I will concede that it worked (very) well, generally speaking, during the 20th Century. As far as the present and future is concerned, I wrote … Read moreThe “Buy and Hold” Philosophy

Gold Below $1000

With Gold now below $1000, I would like to call attention to a post of September 4 titled “Gold and Implications.”  Here is the link: https://www.economicgreenfield.com/2009/09/04/gold-and-implications/ I think that Gold below $1000, after having failed to hold above this level, is very significant. Also significant is the number of people who have been predicting a … Read moreGold Below $1000

Extreme Peril In The Stock Market

Please note – some might find this post disturbing In this post I will summarize my thoughts on the markets, particularly the stock market.  As has been the case since the Economic Crisis began, any stock market weakness will most likely be mirrored in a variety of other markets as well, such as commodities, credit, etc. … Read moreExtreme Peril In The Stock Market

Peril In The Markets? Part IV

The price action in the S&P500 since the March low at ~666 has struck me as being very “impulsive.”  This is certainly a cause for concern.  Also, there certainly has not been any significant “wall of worry” that one would expect given the fundamentals. The charts seen in this post are from Maurice Walker, http://thechartpatterntrader.com.  First, a … Read morePeril In The Markets? Part IV

Peril In The Markets? Part III

Moving on to the stock market…  The first chart is the NYSE Summation Index.  I have put in the S&P500 as an overlay in green, with the NYSE Summation Index’s MACD at the bottom of the chart.  What I find interesting here is the negative MACD divergence as indicated on the chart, in blue: Chart … Read morePeril In The Markets? Part III

Peril In The Markets? Part II

I have included two charts of the Ten-Year Treasury yields below – one daily and one monthly.  The monthly is provided for a longer-term perspective. I would like to address the daily chart.  It seems odd that in an environment in which inflation is (purportedly) a growing concern the economy is supposedly recovering faster than … Read morePeril In The Markets? Part II

Peril In The Markets? Part I

The next few posts will contain some of my thoughts on the markets from a Technical Analysis perspective.   Typically I don’t comment about my observations from a technical perspective.  However, I believe we are at a very critical juncture here in the markets.   I am not aware of anyone discussing imminent peril in the markets right now, … Read morePeril In The Markets? Part I