Long-Term Charts Of The ECRI WLI & ECRI WLI, Gr. – February 14, 2020 Update

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As I stated in my July 12, 2010 post (“ECRI WLI Growth History“):

For a variety of reasons, I am not as enamored with ECRI’s WLI and WLI Growth measures as many are.

However, I do think the measures are important and deserve close monitoring and scrutiny.

Below are three long-term charts, from the Doug Short site’s ECRI update post of February 14, 2020 titled “ECRI Weekly Leading Index Update.”  These charts are on a weekly basis through the February 14, 2020 release, indicating data through February 7, 2020.

Here is the ECRI WLI (defined at ECRI’s glossary):

ECRI WLI 148.2

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This next chart depicts, on a long-term basis, the Year-over-Year change in the 4-week moving average of the WLI:

Year-over-Year change in the 4-week moving average

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This last chart depicts, on a long-term basis, the WLI, Gr.:

ECRI WLI,Gr.

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I post various economic indicators and indices because I believe they should be carefully monitored.  However, as those familiar with this site are aware, I do not necessarily agree with what they depict or imply.

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The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic situation

SPX at 3378.40 as this post is written