Building Financial Danger – February 21, 2012 Update

On October 17, 2011 I wrote a post titled “Danger Signs In The Stock Market, Financial System And Economy.”  This post is a brief sixth update to that post. My overall analysis indicates a continuing elevated and growing level of danger.  There are many worldwide and U.S.-specific “stresses” of a very  complex nature, and many lack …

Read more

A Stock Market Top?

I have frequently commented how my overall analysis indicates that our economic situation is of high complexity.  This complexity also applies to movements in the financial markets. As such, predicting the timing of various major stock market events, such as major tops, bottoms, and especially “crashes” is difficult. That being said, a variety of factors …

Read more

Notable Technical And Sentiment Extremes In The Stock Market

In this post I would like to highlight various areas which I believe indicate excessively positive sentiment and problematical technical analysis measures in the stock market. While the full list is extensive, I believe the list below represents a “sample” of how there is a high level of “frothiness” and other excess in the markets, …

Read more

Building Financial Danger – February 2, 2012 Update

Strains in global financial markets continue to pose significant downside risks to the economic outlook. -an excerpt from the FOMC Statement of January 25, 2012 On October 17 I wrote a post titled “Danger Signs In The Stock Market, Financial System And Economy.”  This post is a brief fifth update to that post. My overall analysis indicates …

Read more

The S&P500 Vs. The Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index – January 12, 2012

Starting on May 3, 2010 I have written posts concerning the notable divergence that has occurred between the S&P500 and Chinese (Shanghai Composite) stock markets. The chart below illustrates this divergence; it shows the S&P500 vs. the Shanghai Composite on a daily basis, since 2006: (click on chart to enlarge image)(chart courtesy of StockCharts.com) – It is notable …

Read more

Building Financial Danger – January 11, 2012 Update

On October 17 I wrote a post titled “Danger Signs In The Stock Market, Financial System And Economy.”  This post is a brief fourth update to that post. My overall analysis indicates a continuing elevated and growing level of danger. I continue to believe the October 4 1074.77 low on the S&P500 will not be a …

Read more

Financial Stocks – January 4 2012 Update Concerning Poor “Price Action”

On June 29 I wrote a blog post titled “Financial Stocks – Notable Price Action.” I continue to believe that the “price action” of various financial stocks is disconcerting.  I view the poor performance of these financial and brokerage stocks to be one indicator among (very) many that serves as a “red flag” as to …

Read more

Financial Stocks – Relative Price To Overall Stock Market – January 3 2012 Update

In the June 29 post (“Financial Stocks – Notable Price Action”) I wrote the following: I think that the relatively poor “price action” of various financial stocks is notable.  It is one of many current indications that overall stock market health is not as strong as a casual glance at the major indices would indicate. …

Read more