America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas
On December 4, Gallup released the poll results titled “U.S. Economic Confidence in November Best in Four Years.” The subtitle is “Average index score of -13 for the month.” Two of the most notable excerpts: Americans’ economic confidence was better in November than in any month since Gallup began tracking confidence daily in January 2008. The -13 …
Many people place emphasis on Durable Goods New Orders as a prominent economic indicator and/or leading economic indicator. For reference, here are a few charts depicting this measure. First, from the St. Louis Fed site (FRED), a chart through October, last updated on November 28. This value is 216,948 ($ Millions) : (click on charts …
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) and the Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index (ADS Index) are two broad-based economic indicators that I regularly feature in this site. The current levels of each are notable, as they are flagging from a short-term perspective and their long-term trends continue to sink. Doug Short, in his blog post …
With regard to our current economic situation, my thoughts can best be described/summarized by the posts found under the 18 “Building Financial Danger” posts. My thoughts concerning our ongoing economic situation – with future implications – can be seen on the page titled “A Special Note On Our Economic Situation,” which has been listed on …
In the August 9, 2011 post (“QE3 – Various Thoughts“) I posted a chart that depicted the movements of the S&P500, 10-Year Treasury Yield and the Fed Funds rate spanning the periods of various Federal Reserve interventions since 2007. For reference purposes, here is an updated chart from Doug Short’s blog post of November 15 …
I found various notable items in Walmart’s Q3 2013 earnings call transcript (pdf) dated November 15, 2012. I view Walmart’s results and comments as particularly noteworthy given their retail prominence and focus on low prices. I have previously commented on their quarterly conference call comments; these previous posts are found under the “paycheck to paycheck” tag. Here are various excerpts …
Doug Short had a blog post of November 9 (“Michigan Consumer Sentiment: Highest Level Since July 2007“) in which he presents the Conference Board Consumer Confidence and Thomson/Reuters University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index charts. They are presented below: (click on charts to enlarge images) – – There are a few aspects of the above charts …
I have written many blog posts concerning the worrisome trends in income and earnings. Along these lines, one of the measures showing disconcerting trends is that of hourly earnings. While the concept of hourly earnings can be defined and measured in a variety of ways, below are a few charts that I believe broadly illustrate …
Here are three charts from the St. Louis Fed depicting the velocity of money in terms of the MZM, M1 and M2 money supply measures. All charts reflect quarterly data through the third quarter of 2012, and were last updated as of October 26, 2012. As one can see, two of the three measures are at all-time …
Many people place emphasis on Durable Goods New Orders as a prominent economic indicator and/or leading economic indicator. For reference, here are a few charts depicting this measure. First, from the St. Louis Fed site (FRED), a chart through September, last updated on October 25. This value is 218,238 ($ Millions) : (click on charts …