Stock Market Capitalization To GDP – Through Q4 2019

“Stock market capitalization to GDP” is a notable and important metric regarding stock market valuation.  In February of 2009 I wrote of it in “Does Warren Buffett’s Market Metric Still Apply?

On the Advisor Perspective site there is an update depicting this “stock market capitalization to GDP” metric.

As seen in the April 2, 2020 post titled “Market Cap to GDP:  An Updated Look at the Buffett Valuation Indicator” two different versions are displayed, varying by the definition of stock market capitalization. (note:  additional explanation is provided in the post.)

For reference purposes, here is the first chart, with the stock market capitalization as defined by the Federal Reserve:

(click on charts to enlarge images)

Stock Market Capitalization To GDP

Here is the second chart, with the stock market capitalization as defined by the Wilshire 5000:

Stock Market Capitalization To GDP - Wilshire 5000

As one can see in both measures depicted above, “stock market capitalization to GDP” is at notably high levels from a long-term historical perspective.

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The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic situation

SPX at 2489.34 as this post is written