“Stock market capitalization to GDP” is a notable and important metric regarding stock market valuation. In February of 2009 I wrote of it in “Does Warren Buffett’s Market Metric Still Apply?”
On the Doug Short site there is an update depicting this “stock market capitalization to GDP” metric.
As seen in the January 6, 2020 post titled “Market Cap to GDP: An Updated Look at the Buffett Valuation Indicator” two different versions are displayed, varying by the definition of stock market capitalization. (note: additional explanation is provided in the post.)
For reference purposes, here is the first chart, with the stock market capitalization as defined by the Federal Reserve:
(click on charts to enlarge images)
Here is the second chart, with the stock market capitalization as defined by the Wilshire 5000:
As one can see in both measures depicted above, “stock market capitalization to GDP” is at notably high levels from a long-term historical perspective.
The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic situation
SPX at 3246.28 as this post is written