Long-Term Charts Of The ECRI WLI & ECRI WLI, Gr. – November 16, 2018 Update

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As I stated in my July 12, 2010 post (“ECRI WLI Growth History“):

For a variety of reasons, I am not as enamored with ECRI’s WLI and WLI Growth measures as many are.

However, I do think the measures are important and deserve close monitoring and scrutiny.

Below are three long-term charts, from the Doug Short site’s ECRI update post of November 16, 2018 titled “ECRI Weekly Leading Index Update:  ‘Construction Crumbling’.”  These charts are on a weekly basis through the November 16, 2018 release, indicating data through November 9, 2018.

Here is the ECRI WLI (defined at ECRI’s glossary):

ECRI WLI

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This next chart depicts, on a long-term basis, the Year-over-Year change in the 4-week moving average of the WLI:

ECRI WLI YoY of the Four-Week Moving Average

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This last chart depicts, on a long-term basis, the WLI, Gr.:

ECRI WLI, Gr. -3.0 Percent

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I post various economic indicators and indices because I believe they should be carefully monitored.  However, as those familiar with this site are aware, I do not necessarily agree with what they depict or imply.

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The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic situation

SPX at 2727.82 as this post is written