Long-Term Charts Of The ECRI WLI & ECRI WLI, Gr. – August 12, 2016 Update

As I stated in my July 12, 2010 post (“ECRI WLI Growth History“):

For a variety of reasons, I am not as enamored with ECRI’s WLI and WLI Growth measures as many are.

However, I do think the measures are important and deserve close monitoring and scrutiny.

Below are three long-term charts, from Doug Short’s blog post of August 12, 2016 titled “ECRI Weekly Leading Index:  Unchanged from Last Week.”  These charts are on a weekly basis through the August 12, 2016 release, indicating data through August 5, 2016.

Here is the ECRI WLI (defined at ECRI’s glossary):


This next chart depicts, on a long-term basis, the Year-over-Year change in the 4-week moving average of the WLI:

Dshort 8-12-16 - ECRI-WLI-YoY 3.97 percent

This last chart depicts, on a long-term basis, the WLI, Gr.:



I post various economic indicators and indices because I believe they should be carefully monitored.  However, as those familiar with this blog are aware, I do not necessarily agree with what they depict or imply.


The Special Note summarizes my overall thoughts about our economic situation

SPX at 2181.74 as this post is written