Unemployment And Stimulus

Here is a Wall Street Journal editorial from Monday:


I found it interesting for two reasons.  First, it has a chart that shows the actual Unemployment Rate vs. that forecast in “The Job Impact of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan.”  Currently the Unemployment Rate is approximately 2% above the rate forecasted with the stimulus.

Second, the editorial mentions the idea of an employment tax credit, i.e. granting a tax credit to employers who hire.   This is yet another stimulus idea, and as such is subject to the same risks and unintended consequences that I have previously written of.  Apparently one idea is to grant a $3000 tax credit for each new hire in 2010.

I don’t believe an employment tax credit will solve, or present a significant solution to, our national unemployment problem.   As I wrote in the “Why Aren’t Companies Hiring?” blog series, listed here:


the Unemployment problem is not simple in nature.


SPX at 1092.02 as this post is written