America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas
This post highlights current readings from the Consumer Metrics Institute. Previous posts solely concerning the Consumer Metrics Institute (CMI) can be found on August 23, July 27 and March 31; as well CMI data is included in the monthly “Updates On Economic Indicators.” Here are a couple of charts concerning the CMI’s Daily Growth Index, …
Lately there has been much commentary on whether the bond market is in a bubble. While many believe such a bubble exists, others – including many prominent investors and commentators – disagree. As I have previously written, I believe that there is a bond bubble encompassing the entire bond market. While for many reasons one …
In the November 25, 2009 post I commented upon how Ron Paul has repeatedly mentioned that the dollar has lost over 95% of its purchasing power since the founding of The Federal Reserve in 1913. This fact lacks recognition, as does its implications and consequences. Recently I came across a feature on the Minneapolis Federal …
On September 28 the Business Roundtable’s CEO Economic Outlook Survey was released for Q3. The Duke/CFO Magazine Global Business Outlook Survey was released on September 15. Both surveys are well worth looking at, and in general highlight a weakening outlook among executives. In the CEO survey, of particular interest is the CEO Economic Outlook Index, …
I’ve written numerous posts about the U.S. Dollar, as I am very concerned about its vulnerability to a substantial decline (one that would take it considerably below 70, as discussed in the July 30 post) and the various ill-effects that would accompany such a decline. Of note, very few people have voiced concerns over the …
On September 21 MacroMarkets released its September Home Price Expectations Survey results. Here is the Press Release (pdf); the accompanying chart is seen below: As one can see from the above chart, the expectation is that not only has the residential real estate market hit a “bottom” as far as pricing; but that steady yet …
Here is an update on various indicators that are supposed to predict and/or depict economic activity. These indicators have been discussed in previous blog posts: The September Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI)(pdf) updated as of September 27, 2010: The Consumer Metrics Institute Contraction Watch: The USA TODAY/IHS Global Insight Economic Outlook Index: An excerpt …
As a continuation of the last post, here are three other charts that I find disturbing in nature. These charts raise a lot of questions. Many of these questions I have discussed in the blog, as I believe they are very significant in nature. Additionally, these charts should highlight the “atypical” nature of our economic …
In the next two posts, I am going to display various charts that I find disturbing. These charts would be disturbing at any point in the economic cycle; that they depict such a tenuous situation now – 15 months after the official (as per the 9-20-10 NBER announcement) June 2009 end of the recession – …
The following chart is from the CalculatedRisk Blog of September 18, 2010. It depicts Total Household Net Worth as a Percent of GDP. The underlying data is from The Federal Reserve Flow of Funds 2Q 2010 report: (click on chart to enlarge image) As seen in the above-referenced CalculatedRisk blog post: “According to the Fed, …