America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas
In various posts I have commented about the troubling long- and short-term trends in income growth. (Many of these past posts are seen under the “household income” tag) While there are many ways to measure these income trends, regardless of the measurement or time period used, the trends appear worrisome. As I highlighted in the …
Many people place emphasis on Durable Goods New Orders as a prominent economic indicator and/or leading economic indicator. For reference, here are a few charts depicting this measure. First, from the St. Louis Fed site (FRED), a chart through April, last updated on May 24. This value is 215,527 ($ Millions) : (click on charts …
I found various notable items in Walmart’s Q1 2013 earnings call transcript (pdf) dated May 17, 2012. I view Walmart’s results and comments as particularly noteworthy given their retail prominence and focus on low prices. I have previously commented on their quarterly conference call comments; these previous posts are found under the “paycheck to paycheck” tag. Here are various excerpts …
I find the following charts to be disturbing. These charts would be disturbing at any point in the economic cycle; that they depict such a tenuous situation now – 35 months after the official (as per the 9-20-10 NBER announcement) June 2009 end of the recession – is especially notable. These charts raise a lot …
On May 1, Gallup released the poll results titled “U.S. Economic Confidence Steady in April at Four-Year High.” The subtitle is “Economic optimism continues to outstrip perceptions of current conditions.” Three of the most notable excerpts: Gallup’s Economic Confidence Index averaged -20 in April, identical to confidence in March and slightly improved over -22 in February …
This post is the latest update to a series of blog posts seen on the CalculatedRisk.com blog. The original blog post of April 12, 2010, is titled “Recession Measures.” In it, Bill discussed key measures that the NBER uses to determine recoveries, and posted four charts. Here are those charts, updated in his April 29, 2012 post titled “Recovery …
Here are three charts from the St. Louis Fed depicting the velocity of money in terms of the MZM, M1 and M2 money supply measures. All charts reflect quarterly data through the first quarter of 2012, and were last updated as of April 27, 2012. As one can see, two of the three are at all-time lows: …
Many people place emphasis on Durable Goods New Orders as a prominent economic indicator and/or leading economic indicator. For reference, here are a few charts depicting this measure. First, from the St. Louis Fed site (FRED), a chart through March, last updated on April 25. This March value is 202,568 ($ Millions) : (click on …
In the August 9, 2011 post (“QE3 – Various Thoughts“) I posted a chart that depicted the movements of the S&P500, 10-Year Treasury Yield and the Fed Funds rate spanning the periods of various Federal Reserve interventions since 2007. For reference purposes, here is an updated chart from Doug Short’s blog post of April 10 …
On April 3, Gallup released a poll titled “Economic Confidence in March Highest Since January 2008.” A couple of the most notable excerpts: The Gallup Economic Confidence Index reached -20 in March, up from -22 in February and its highest level since Gallup Daily tracking began in January 2008. The index has increased for seven straight …