Investor

Building Financial Danger – June 10, 2019 Update

My overall analysis indicates a continuing elevated and growing level of financial danger which contains many worldwide and U.S.-specific “stresses” of a very complex nature. I have written numerous posts on this site concerning both ongoing and recent “negative developments.”  These developments, as well as other exceedingly problematical conditions, have presented a highly perilous economic environment … Read moreBuilding Financial Danger – June 10, 2019 Update

S&P500 Price Projections – Livingston Survey June 2019

The June 2019 Livingston Survey (pdf) published on June 7, 2019 contains, among its various forecasts, a S&P500 forecast.  It shows the following price forecast for the dates shown: Jun. 28, 2019   2860.0 Dec. 31, 2019  2900.0 June 30, 2020  2950.0 Dec. 31, 2020  3042.7 These figures represent the median value across the forecasters on the survey’s panel. … Read moreS&P500 Price Projections – Livingston Survey June 2019

U.S. Dollar Decline – June 3, 2019 Update

U.S. Dollar weakness is a foremost concern of mine.  As such, I have extensively written about it.  I am very concerned that the actions being taken to “improve” our economic situation will dramatically weaken the Dollar.  Should the Dollar substantially decline from here, as I expect, the negative consequences will far outweigh any benefits.  The negative impact of a substantial … Read moreU.S. Dollar Decline – June 3, 2019 Update

Trends Of S&P500 Earnings Forecasts

S&P500 earnings trends and estimates are a notably important topic, for a variety of reasons, at this point in time. FactSet publishes a report titled “Earnings Insight” that contains a variety of information including the trends and expectations of S&P500 earnings. For reference purposes, here are two charts as seen in the “Earnings Insight” (pdf) report of … Read moreTrends Of S&P500 Earnings Forecasts

Annual S&P500 EPS Forecasts Years 2019, 2020 & 2021

As many are aware, Refinitiv publishes earnings estimates for the S&P500.  (My other posts concerning S&P earnings estimates can be found under the S&P500 Earnings tag) The following estimates are from Exhibit 24 of the “S&P500 Earnings Scorecard” (pdf) of May 21, 2019, and represent an aggregation of individual S&P500 component “bottom up” analyst forecasts.  For reference, the … Read moreAnnual S&P500 EPS Forecasts Years 2019, 2020 & 2021

Standard & Poor’s S&P500 EPS Estimates 2019 & 2020 – May 15, 2019

As many are aware, Standard & Poor’s publishes earnings estimates for the S&P500.  (My posts concerning their estimates can be found under the S&P500 Earnings tag) For reference purposes, the most current estimates are reflected below, and are as of May 15, 2019: Year 2019 estimates add to the following: -From a “bottom up” perspective, operating earnings of $165.53/share … Read moreStandard & Poor’s S&P500 EPS Estimates 2019 & 2020 – May 15, 2019

Building Financial Danger – May 8, 2019 Update

My overall analysis indicates a continuing elevated and growing level of financial danger which contains many worldwide and U.S.-specific “stresses” of a very complex nature. I have written numerous posts on this site concerning both ongoing and recent “negative developments.”  These developments, as well as other exceedingly problematical conditions, have presented a highly perilous economic environment … Read moreBuilding Financial Danger – May 8, 2019 Update

U.S. Dollar Decline – May 1, 2019 Update

U.S. Dollar weakness is a foremost concern of mine.  As such, I have extensively written about it.  I am very concerned that the actions being taken to “improve” our economic situation will dramatically weaken the Dollar.  Should the Dollar substantially decline from here, as I expect, the negative consequences will far outweigh any benefits.  The negative impact of a substantial … Read moreU.S. Dollar Decline – May 1, 2019 Update

Trends Of S&P500 Earnings Forecasts

S&P500 earnings trends and estimates are a notably important topic, for a variety of reasons, at this point in time. FactSet publishes a report titled “Earnings Insight” that contains a variety of information including the trends and expectations of S&P500 earnings. For reference purposes, here are two charts as seen in the “Earnings Insight” (pdf) report of … Read moreTrends Of S&P500 Earnings Forecasts

Annual S&P500 EPS Forecasts For Years 2019, 2020 & 2021

As many are aware, Refinitiv publishes earnings estimates for the S&P500.  (My other posts concerning S&P earnings estimates can be found under the S&P500 Earnings tag) The following estimates are from Exhibit 24 of the “S&P500 Earnings Scorecard” (pdf) of April 22, 2019, and represent an aggregation of individual S&P500 component “bottom up” analyst forecasts.  For reference, the … Read moreAnnual S&P500 EPS Forecasts For Years 2019, 2020 & 2021