Investor

Building Financial Danger – May 8, 2020 Update

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My overall analysis indicates a continuing elevated and growing level of financial danger which contains many worldwide and U.S.-specific “stresses” of a very complex nature. I have written numerous posts on this site concerning both ongoing and recent “negative developments.”  These developments, as well as other exceedingly problematical conditions, have presented a highly perilous economic environment … Read more Building Financial Danger – May 8, 2020 Update

U.S. Dollar Decline – May 1, 2020 Update

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U.S. Dollar weakness is a foremost concern of mine.  As such, I have extensively written about it.  I am very concerned that the actions being taken to “improve” our economic situation will dramatically weaken the Dollar.  Should the Dollar substantially decline from here, as I expect, the negative consequences will far outweigh any benefits.  The negative impact of a substantial … Read more U.S. Dollar Decline – May 1, 2020 Update

Trends Of S&P500 Earnings Forecasts

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S&P500 earnings trends and estimates are a notably important topic, for a variety of reasons, at this point in time. FactSet publishes a report titled “Earnings Insight” that contains a variety of information including the trends and expectations of S&P500 earnings. For reference purposes, here are two charts as seen in the “Earnings Insight” report of April … Read more Trends Of S&P500 Earnings Forecasts

S&P500 EPS Estimates 2020 Through 2022 And Prior EPS

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As many are aware, Refinitiv publishes earnings estimates for the S&P500.  (My other posts concerning S&P earnings estimates can be found under the S&P500 Earnings tag) The following estimates are from Exhibit 24 of the “S&P500 Earnings Scorecard” (pdf) of April 21, 2020, and represent an aggregation of individual S&P500 component “bottom up” analyst forecasts.  For reference, the … Read more S&P500 EPS Estimates 2020 Through 2022 And Prior EPS

Standard & Poor’s S&P500 EPS Estimates 2020 & 2021 – April 16, 2020

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As many are aware, Standard & Poor’s publishes earnings estimates for the S&P500.  (My posts concerning their estimates can be found under the S&P500 Earnings tag) For reference purposes, the most current estimates are reflected below, and are as of April 16, 2020: Year 2020 estimates add to the following: -From a “bottom up” perspective, operating earnings of $138.65/share … Read more Standard & Poor’s S&P500 EPS Estimates 2020 & 2021 – April 16, 2020

Building Financial Danger – April 8, 2020 Update

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My overall analysis indicates a continuing elevated and growing level of financial danger which contains many worldwide and U.S.-specific “stresses” of a very complex nature. I have written numerous posts on this site concerning both ongoing and recent “negative developments.”  These developments, as well as other exceedingly problematical conditions, have presented a highly perilous economic environment … Read more Building Financial Danger – April 8, 2020 Update

U.S. Dollar Decline – April 1, 2020 Update

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U.S. Dollar weakness is a foremost concern of mine.  As such, I have extensively written about it.  I am very concerned that the actions being taken to “improve” our economic situation will dramatically weaken the Dollar.  Should the Dollar substantially decline from here, as I expect, the negative consequences will far outweigh any benefits.  The negative impact of a substantial … Read more U.S. Dollar Decline – April 1, 2020 Update

Four Charts Of Recent S&P500 Price Volatility – March 26, 2020

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This post is an update to past posts regarding stock market volatility. While I track many different measures of volatility, I find the following charts to be both simple and clear in depicting the recent volatility in the stock market. Overall, my analyses indicates that there are many reasons for this volatility, and the volatility is … Read more Four Charts Of Recent S&P500 Price Volatility – March 26, 2020

Trends Of S&P500 Earnings Forecasts

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S&P500 earnings trends and estimates are a notably important topic, for a variety of reasons, at this point in time. FactSet publishes a report titled “Earnings Insight” that contains a variety of information including the trends and expectations of S&P500 earnings. For reference purposes, here are two charts as seen in the “Earnings Insight” report of March … Read more Trends Of S&P500 Earnings Forecasts

S&P500 EPS Estimates 2019 Through 2021 And Prior EPS

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As many are aware, Refinitiv publishes earnings estimates for the S&P500.  (My other posts concerning S&P earnings estimates can be found under the S&P500 Earnings tag) The following estimates are from Exhibit 24 of the “S&P500 Earnings Scorecard” (pdf) of March 16, 2020, and represent an aggregation of individual S&P500 component “bottom up” analyst forecasts.  For reference, the … Read more S&P500 EPS Estimates 2019 Through 2021 And Prior EPS