St. Louis Financial Stress Index – Updated

On March 28 I wrote a post (“The STLFSI“) about the  STLFSI (St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index) which is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. Here is the most recent chart.  This chart was last updated on June 30, incorporating data from 12-31-93 to 6-24-11 on a weekly basis.  The present level …

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Updates On Economic Indicators June 2011

Here is an update on various indicators that are supposed to predict and/or depict economic activity.  These indicators have been discussed in previous blog posts: The June Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI)(pdf) updated as of June 23, 2011: – The Consumer Metrics Institute Contraction Watch: – The USA TODAY/IHS Global Insight Economic Outlook Index: An …

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McKinsey Economic Conditions Snapshot – Notable Aspects

Recently McKinsey released their “Economic Conditions Snapshot, June 2011” As stated in the survey: Over the past three months, executives around the world have grown more pessimistic about their nations’ economies: compared with three months ago, a smaller share say their economies improved over the past six months, and slightly more expect worsening conditions over the …

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CEO & CFO Surveys 2Q 2011

On June 14 the Business Roundtable’s CEO Economic Outlook Survey was released for the 2nd quarter.  The June Duke/CFO Magazine Global Business Outlook Survey was released on June 8.  Both contain a variety of statistics regarding how executives view business and economic conditions. In the CEO survey, of particular interest is the CEO Economic Outlook Index, which …

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Updates On Economic Indicators May 2011

Here is an update on various indicators that are supposed to predict and/or depict economic activity.  These indicators have been discussed in previous blog posts: The May Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI)(pdf) updated as of May 23, 2011: – The Consumer Metrics Institute Contraction Watch: – The USA TODAY/IHS Global Insight Economic Outlook Index: An excerpt …

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Federal Reserve Economic Projections To 2013 And Beyond – As Of April 2011

The following is from the Minutes of The Federal Open Market Committee of April 26-27, 2011, the Summary of Economic Projections.  As stated: “In conjunction with the April 26-27, 2011, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the members of the Board of Governors and the presidents of the Federal Reserve Banks, all of whom participate in …

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Philadelphia Fed – 2nd Quarter 2011 Survey Of Professional Forecasters

The Philadelphia Fed Second Quarter 2011 Survey of Professional Forecasters was released on May 13.  This survey is somewhat unique in various regards, such as it incorporates a longer time frame for various measures. The survey shows, among many measures, the following expectations: GDP: full-year 2011 : 2.7% full-year 2012 : 3.0% full-year 2013 : 2.8% …

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The May 2011 Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey

The May Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published May 16, 2011.  The headline is “Economists in Survey Discount Inflation.” Most of the article discusses inflation expectations, although raising the debt ceiling and other topics are touched upon as well. The current average forecasts among economists polled include the following: GDP: full-year 2011 : …

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