Total Household Net Worth As A Percent Of GDP 4Q 2018

The following chart is from the CalculatedRisk post of March 7, 2019 titled “Fed’s Flow of Funds:  Household Net Worth decreased in Q4.” It depicts Total Household Net Worth as a Percent of GDP.  The underlying data is from the Federal Reserve’s Z.1 report, “Financial Accounts of the United States“: (click on chart to enlarge …

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Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI)

The St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index (STLFSI) is one index that is supposed to measure stress in the financial system.  Its reading as of the February 28, 2019 update (reflecting data through February 22, 2019) is -1.197. Of course, there are a variety of other measures and indices that are supposed to measure financial stress …

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Another Recession Probability Indicator – Updated Through Q3 2018

Each month I have been highlighting various estimates of U.S. recession probabilities.  The latest update was that of February 6, 2019, titled “Recession Probability Models – February 2019.” While I don’t agree with the methodologies employed or the probabilities of impending economic weakness as depicted by these and other estimates, I do believe that the …

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Charts Of Equities’ Performance Since March 9, 2009 And January 1, 1980 – March 4, 2019 Update

In the March 9, 2012 post (“Charts of Equities’ Performance Since March 9, 2009 And January 1, 1980“) I highlighted two charts for reference purposes. Below are those two charts, updated through the latest daily closing price. The first is a daily chart of the S&P500 (shown in green), as well as five prominent (AAPL, IBM, …

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Major U.S. Stock Market Indices Long-Term Price Charts

StockCharts.com maintains long-term historical charts of various major stock market indices, interest rates, currencies, commodities, and economic indicators. As a long-term reference, below are charts depicting various stock market indices for the dates shown.  All charts are depicted on a monthly basis using a LOG scale. (click on charts to enlarge images)(charts courtesy of StockCharts.com) The …

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U.S. Dollar Decline – March 1, 2019 Update

U.S. Dollar weakness is a foremost concern of mine.  As such, I have extensively written about it.  I am very concerned that the actions being taken to “improve” our economic situation will dramatically weaken the Dollar.  Should the Dollar substantially decline from here, as I expect, the negative consequences will far outweigh any benefits.  The negative impact of a substantial …

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