America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas
The St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index (STLFSI) is one index that is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. Its reading as of the September 4, 2014 update (reflecting data through August 29) is -1.32. Of course, there are a variety of other measures and indices that are supposed to measure financial stress and other related …
In the March 9, 2012 post (“Charts of Equities’ Performance Since March 9, 2009 And January 1, 1980“) I highlighted two charts for reference purposes. Below are those two charts, updated through the latest daily closing price. The first is a daily chart of the S&P500 (shown in green), as well as five prominent (AAPL, IBM, …
There are a variety of economic models that are supposed to predict the probabilities of recession. While I don’t agree with the methodologies employed or probabilities of impending economic weakness as depicted by the following two models, I think the results of these models should be monitored. Please note that each of these models is …
On September 2, 2014 Gallup released the poll results titled “U.S. Economic Confidence Index Stable in August at -16.” The subtitle is “Current conditions index unchanged at -14 for fifth month.” Notable excerpts include: Gallup’s U.S. Economic Confidence Index was steady at -16 in August. This score falls within the -14 to -17 range that the …
U.S. Dollar weakness is a foremost concern of mine. As such, I have extensively written about it. I am very concerned that the actions being taken to “improve” our economic situation will dramatically weaken the Dollar. Should the Dollar substantially decline from here, as I expect, the negative consequences will far outweigh any benefits. The negative impact of a substantial …